Week 14
Jun 22–Jun 28

One Ball comes in off a quiet 3–7 loss to Keanu, and it gets tougher before it gets easier: José Ramírez is on the 10-day IL, pulling a chunk of the runs, power, and steals out of Garth’s lineup. The pitching is the calling card here, a staff that posted a 1.24 WHIP last week, and the model leans on it. OBP and the ratios are where One Ball holds the edge.

Ete Crow stole a 6–4 from Rain City last week on the back of six saves, but the roster is banged up: Elly De La Cruz and Mickey Moniak are both on the 10-day IL, gutting the speed and a piece of the offense, while Eury Pérez, Brad Keller, and Matthew Boyd are all shelved. Jace still profiles to take the power and counting categories, but the margins are razor-thin.

The number-one seed got mugged last week, a 2–7 loss to Busch despite a league-best 73 strikeouts, the kind of result that is pure bad-draw variance. Now Sonny is shorthanded: Aaron Judge is on the 10-day IL, and Cole Ragans (60-day) and Brandon Woodruff (15-day) are long gone. Even so, the strikeout volume and team speed are real separators in this one.

Allahu is the hottest team in the league, fresh off the best all-play week of the season (8–0–1) and an 8–2 demolition of Buckner behind league-best marks in OBP, saves, and WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. is day-to-day and worth watching, and Oneil Cruz is on the 10-day IL, but the model still hands TylerR the power categories and a big saves edge.

Nick-fil-A is the number-two seed coming off the worst week any team had this season, 0–9 all-play, and the injury sheet is brutal: Ronald Acuña Jr. and Konnor Griffin on the 10-day IL, Hunter Greene and Tyler Glasnow both on the 60-day. That is a pile of production and rotation missing, and it shows up in the projections, where Mario is an underdog in nine of ten categories.

Keanu rolls in off a clean 7–3 win over One Ball with a league-high 18 homers, and the only injury of note is Max Fried (15-day IL). Duke Joe owns this matchup on paper: huge edges in strikeouts, saves, and quality starts, with the power and OBP on his side too.

Romance Explosion backed into a 6–4 win over Nick last week on a 2–6–1 all-play line, the luckiest draw of the week, and now the bill comes due. Brent Rooker and Teoscar Hernández are both on the 10-day IL, and the rotation is thin with Garrett Crochet and Shane Bieber on the 60-day. Michael still profiles to win strikeouts, but not a lot beyond that.

Buckner ran a league-best 2.89 ERA last week and lost anyway, swept aside 2–8 by Allahu, a bad draw more than a bad team. Corey Seager (7-day) and Munetaka Murakami (10-day) are banged up, but the model likes Buckner across the board here, with edges in eight categories including runs, OBP, and a near-lock on saves.

Rain City’s lineup is decimated: Mike Trout, Francisco Lindor, Will Smith, Roman Anthony, and Liam Hicks are all on the 10-day IL, and Blake Snell is on the 60-day. Even with IL backfills, that is a staggering amount of production to replace, and after a 6.39 ERA in last week’s loss the arms are not bailing anyone out. The model has Taylor as a heavy underdog in the power categories.

Busch Latte is quietly the second-hottest team in the league, an 8–0–1 all-play week capped by a 7–2 takedown of the top seed, with league-highs in RBI, steals, and quality starts. Edwin Díaz (60-day) and Randy Arozarena (10-day) are out, but Rose has the lineup firing: dominant edges in runs, homers, and RBI, plus a near-lock on saves.