Week 10

Week 10
May 25–May 31

5 Matchups H2H Categories

📝 Week 10 Preview

📚 Storylines to Watch

Allahu Alvarez gets the test. After the best weekly all-play of the season (8–0–1, 53 cat wins, 1.16 ERA, .88 WHIP), TylerR draws Keanu Reeves, the cumulative #2. Sim has Keanu 52%. Yordan and Max Muncy are both DTD and the Allahu rotation gets a 5–0 plus 14 HR run for the second straight week or this is the matchup that calls it a fluke. Best test on the board for the 8th-place team that just looked elite.

Sonny rotation gets the deep-end test. Cumulative #1 vs #10. Sonny (cumulative 442 cats) draws Rain City (cumulative 322 cats). The interesting wrinkle: Rain City is now rolling Skenes, deGrom, Wheeler, Imanaga, Lodolo as a top-end rotation while Sonny is missing Cole Ragans, Woodruff, and Jared Jones from theirs. Sim still says 69% Sonny because the lineup gap is real, but the pitching matchup is closer than the record suggests.

Ete Crow's bounce-back call. 0–8–1 all-play to ending the week 7th in the standings. Jace gets Nick-fil-A as the 75% favorite, same structural matchup that ended in disaster last week (62% favored, tied). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. should be back from DTD. Hunter Greene, Glasnow, Helsley all out for Nick. If the offense disappears against a depleted Nick rotation, the storyline shifts from variance to chronic.

OBT–Buckner is the rotation depth showdown. Two teams with active SP rotations averaging 4 healthy starters apiece. Sim has Buckner 75% on lineup edges (Yandy, Murakami, Henderson, Tucker) but OBT has the closer corps (Jansen, Bednar, Megill, 83% SV edge). The K cat is essentially even. This is the matchup where the lineups decide everything; if Garth’s offense outscores expectation, the sim model gets to 0–4 versus OBT.

Romance Explosion has to remember how to hit. Same lineup that went 8–1 in Week 8 went 0–6–3 in Week 9. Michael 1 dropped Buehler and the Hey Holmes! brand name in the same week. Now he draws Busch Latte at 30%. Both teams are 29–46–5 in the standings. Busch has the depth, Romance has the higher ceiling. Variance is variance until it happens twice.

Matchup Breakdown

One Ball Two Strikes One Ball Two Strikes
vs
The Buckner Boots The Buckner Boots
Week 10 • May 25–May 31
27
One BallBuckner
31R37
8HR15
29RBI42
4SB4
.310OBP.325
4SV3
67K69
3.53ERA2.94
1.19WHIP1.20
2QS4

OBT just took a 5–4 over Nick and is sitting in 3rd place. Garth dropped Zac Gallen Sunday for Foster Griffin again. Skubal still IL, Jeffers still IL. The rotation behind Yamamoto, Alcantara, Foster Griffin, Casey Mize is solid but not deep; Eovaldi, Rodón, Yesavage, and Chase Burns all sitting on the bench as cover. The closer corps with Jansen, Bednar, Megill remains the strongest in OBT’s 9 weeks.

Buckner is coming off the 5–5 tie with Rain City that ruined a 72% sim favor. Webb still IL, Seager still IL, but Framber Valdez, Parker Messick, Trevor Rogers are the active rotation with Roki Sasaki, Taj Bradley, Chris Sale all on bench for additional starts. The lineup with Murakami, CJ Abrams, Henderson, Tucker, Yandy Díaz, Bregman, Rutschman, Nimmo is deeper than the record suggests. The bullpen behind Baker, Palencia, Williams, Thielbar is one of the league’s deepest after Allahu’s.

RBuckner edge (70%)
HRBuckner edge (69%)
RBIBuckner edge (68%)
SBBuckner lean (56%)
OBPBuckner edge (67%)
KEven
QSBuckner slight edge (51%)
ERAOBT slight edge (51%)
WHIPOBT slight edge (54%)
SVBuckner edge (75%)
Prediction: The Buckner Boots 6–4. Sim says 75% Buckner and expected 6.0–4.0. Yandy and Murakami carry HR/RBI/OBP; the rotation depth covers the K cat. OBT’s closer crew steals SV but Buckner takes the matchup at every offensive cat. The model said 72% last week and got burned, here it doubles down.
Rosters
One Ball Two Strikes
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
31478271620.351
CShea LangeliersATH
3714300.365
1BMatt OlsonATL
4116451.346
2BOtto LopezMIA
3242410.358
3BJosé RamírezCLE
3182820.344
SSGeraldo PerdomoAZ
273218.339
OFJarren DuranBOS
2793210.279
OFJordan WalkerSTL
3915427.359
OFTaylor WardBAL
352162.404
UtilRiley GreeneDET
304251.398
UtilJeremy PeñaHOU
15383.323
BNBo BichetteNYM
275271.276
BNWillson ContrerasDTDBOS
2611331.384
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
203563.981.2929
SPYoshinobu YamamotoLAD
0593.090.988
SPSandy AlcantaraMIA
0524.661.337
RPDavid BednarNYY
12284.701.570
RPTrevor MegillMIL
7254.501.100
PKyle FinneganDET
1152.031.580
PMerrill KellyAZ
0315.251.424
PKeider MonteroDET
0394.091.073
BNTrey YesavageTOR
0392.191.162
BNCarlos RodónNYY
0203.321.321
BNNathan EovaldiTEX
0673.931.116
BNChase BurnsCIN
0721.960.967
ILCasey MizeDET
0492.270.975
ILKenley JansenDET
7194.801.200
ILTarik SkubalDET
0452.700.955
NAKade AndersonNASEA
-----
SPAnthony KayCWS
0423.771.402
SP,RPFoster GriffinWSH
0653.761.155
The Buckner Boots
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
26377269280.346
CAdley RutschmanBAL
197280.335
1BYandy DíazTB
3111371.396
2BKetel MarteAZ
349320.321
3BAlex BregmanCHC
274172.342
SSCJ AbramsWSH
3612479.390
OFKyle TuckerLAD
364264.335
OFBrandon NimmoTEX
257211.341
OFJJ BledayCIN
189241.395
UtilGunnar HendersonBAL
3013316.271
UtilA.J. EwingNYM
7164.338
ILMunetaka MurakamiCWS
4320411.378
ILCorey SeagerTEX
227201.286
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
273303.581.2815
SPFramber ValdezDET
0544.391.327
SPZack LittellWSH
0305.231.390
RPBryan BakerTB
15282.311.070
RPDaniel PalenciaCHC
3122.311.460
PBen BrownCHC
1531.920.932
PDevin WilliamsNYM
8295.681.630
PParker MessickCLE
0742.211.074
PRoki SasakiLAD
0504.591.352
BNTaj BradleyMIN
0653.211.215
BNLogan WebbSF
0474.821.395
BNGage JumpATH
057.202.000
BNChris SaleATL
0802.010.949
BNEmerson HancockSEA
0632.781.017
It’s Always Sonny It’s Always Sonny
vs
Rain City Bombers Rain City Bombers
Week 10 • May 25–May 31
71
SonnyRain City
36R36
10HR10
35RBI29
8SB2
.357OBP.378
4SV2
70K59
4.29ERA4.82
1.18WHIP1.30
6QS4

Sonny is the cumulative #1 in cat wins (442) by 3 over Keanu, just lost the H2H 4–5 to Keanu but still posted 5–3–1 all-play. Cal Raleigh, Wyatt Langford, Cole Ragans, Brandon Woodruff all IL. Jared Jones now on 60-day. TylerV added Spencer Steer (lineup) and Samuel Basallo (C replacement) and pulled Jared Jones drop earlier in the cycle. Active rotation behind Ohtani-the-pitcher, Schlittler, King, Ashcraft, Roupp with Sonny Gray, Mitch Keller, Ryne Nelson on bench. Closer Jhoan Duran anchors.

Rain City came out of a 5–5 tie with Buckner. Lindor IL, Roman Anthony IL, now Blake Snell IL too (added Snell was rendered moot). The rotation now leans on Skenes, deGrom, Imanaga, Wheeler, Lodolo, with Max Meyer, Bryce Elder, Nick Martinez on bench. That’s the deepest top-end SP group Taylor has fielded all year. The lineup with Trout, Manny Machado, Michael Harris II, Ivan Herrera is a fraction of what Rain City was supposed to be. Cade Smith still closing.

RIt’s Always Sonny edge (70%)
HRIt’s Always Sonny edge (70%)
RBIIt’s Always Sonny edge (65%)
SBRain City lean (55%)
OBPIt’s Always Sonny lean (55%)
KIt’s Always Sonny lean (60%)
QSRain City lean (55%)
ERARain City slight edge (51%)
WHIPRain City lean (57%)
SVIt’s Always Sonny lean (61%)
Prediction: It’s Always Sonny 6–4. Sim says 69% Sonny and expected 5.6–4.4. Sonny wins R, HR, RBI, K, SV. Rain City takes ERA, WHIP, QS off the Skenes/deGrom/Wheeler rotation. The lineup gap is the matchup; Sonny’s rotation depth outpaces Rain City’s once you get past the top three arms.
Rosters
It’s Always Sonny
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
30077269620.343
CSamuel BasalloBAL
229240.335
1BNick KurtzATH
3810406.432
2BFernando Tatis Jr.SD
2111814.346
3BAustin RileyATL
308313.289
SSTrea TurnerPHI
3471911.274
OFAaron JudgeNYY
4217375.376
OFJackson ChourioMIL
11285.317
OFAndy PagesLAD
3513507.342
UtilKevin McGonigleDET
353218.384
UtilSpencer SteerCIN
327213.338
BNCal RaleighSEA
167182.243
ILWyatt LangfordTEX
9143.274
NAKaelen CulpepperNAMIN
-----
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
264392.401.0238
SPShohei Ohtani (Pitcher)LAD
0610.820.828
SPCam SchlittlerNYY
0811.500.858
RPJhoan DuranPHI
12261.530.960
RPRiley O'BrienSTL
14273.200.990
PMichael KingSD
0653.041.135
PBraxton AshcraftPIT
0702.751.057
PSonny GrayBOS
0413.061.205
PLanden RouppSF
0683.301.185
BNRyne NelsonAZ
0524.821.194
BNMitch KellerPIT
0514.351.177
BNEmmet SheehanLAD
0594.701.244
BNJared JonesPIT
0610.382.080
ILCole RagansKC
0454.841.423
ILBrandon WoodruffMIL
0253.601.032
Rain City Bombers
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
29286280420.340
CLiam HicksMIA
2711451.347
1BMiguel VargasCWS
4213349.367
2BMaikel GarciaDTDKC
283214.325
3BManny MachadoSD
2810301.272
SSJosé CaballeroNYY
1941413.315
OFTyler SoderstromATH
257261.312
OFChristian YelichMIL
184163.336
OFMike TroutLAA
4514315.412
UtilIvan HerreraSTL
337272.386
UtilMichael Harris IIATL
2713363.330
BNNasim NuñezWSH
2101622.285
BNWill SmithLAD
226230.341
ILFrancisco LindorNYM
14252.314
ILRoman AnthonyBOS
12152.354
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
253813.281.0827
SPPaul SkenesPIT
0752.890.865
SPNick MartinezTB
0411.621.117
RPCade SmithCLE
20422.601.080
RPAbner UribeMIL
5223.981.230
PShota ImanagaCHC
0694.371.076
PZack WheelerPHI
0402.270.855
PMax MeyerMIA
0742.971.103
PNick LodoloCIN
0185.571.381
BNStephen KolekKC
0193.480.943
BNJacob deGromTEX
0703.771.014
BNBryce ElderATL
0612.501.088
ILBlake SnellLAD
0512.002.670
Nick-fil-A Nick-fil-A
vs
Ete Crow Ete Crow
Week 10 • May 25–May 31
81
NickEte Crow
29R32
11HR8
31RBI30
9SB2
.370OBP.311
3SV3
70K59
2.41ERA3.41
1.02WHIP1.15
6QS3

Nick-fil-A just lost 4–5 to OBT in a matchup where the sim said 40%. Hunter Greene 60-day IL. Tyler Glasnow IL. Ryan Helsley IL. Mario picked up Andrew Painter (May 24) to add a rotation arm. Gerrit Cole back on the bench as he works his way back. The lineup still has James Wood, Junior Caminero, Konnor Griffin, Daylen Lile, Ronald Acuña Jr., Brice Turang. Mason Miller anchors the closer slot but Helsley is now out too. Two straight weeks of being a sim underdog after the Week 8 disaster.

Ete Crow had the choke of the week: 0–8–1 all-play, 28 cat wins, tied 4–4 with Romance. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. DTD heading in is now better. Mickey Moniak still IL. Matthew Boyd IL, Josh Hader IL. Rotation behind Bailey Ober, Martín Pérez, Jesús Luzardo, Nolan McLean, Payton Tolle with Eury Pérez, Joe Ryan, Shane McClanahan on bench as cover. The bullpen with Tanner Scott and Raisel Iglesias is the league’s second-best closer pair. Bounce-back matchup against a beat-up Nick rotation.

REte lean (62%)
HREte edge (69%)
RBIEte edge (75%)
SBNick-fil-A slight edge (54%)
OBPNick-fil-A edge (66%)
KEte slight edge (52%)
QSEte slight edge (54%)
ERAEte lean (59%)
WHIPEte lean (62%)
SVEte edge (94%)
Prediction: Ete Crow 6–4. Sim says 75% Ete and expected 6.1–3.9. Ete gets RBI, HR, ERA, WHIP, and a 94% SV cat off Nick’s injured bullpen. Nick wins SB and OBP. Same prediction structure that flopped last week but the talent gap is wider; Ete needs the offense not to disappear two weeks in a row.
Rosters
Nick-fil-A
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
34595299540.351
CHunter GoodmanCOL
3313233.309
1BVinnie PasquantinoKC
215252.303
2BBrice TurangMIL
447319.397
3BJunior CamineroTB
3313280.368
SSColt EmersonSEA
6270.326
OFJames WoodWSH
51153710.410
OFRonald Acuña Jr.ATL
2661912.369
OFChase DeLauterCLE
227312.339
UtilCurtis MeadWSH
268253.368
UtilJoc PedersonTEX
238180.351
BNKonnor GriffinPIT
3042214.327
2B,SSBrayan RocchioCLE
254279.371
OFDaylen LileWSH
357284.307
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
262202.871.066
SPRobbie RaySF
0534.601.384
SPAndrew PainterPHI
0405.401.462
RPMason MillerSD
17490.720.840
RPRico GarciaBAL
3280.740.660
PJacob LatzTEX
6232.160.600
BNSeth LugoKC
0603.551.358
BNBryan WooSEA
0683.440.968
BNJustin WrobleskiLAD
0402.871.016
BNDavis MartinCWS
0712.000.998
BNGerrit ColeNYY
0120.000.712
BNMichael McGreevySTL
0432.981.096
BNEduardo RodriguezAZ
0492.311.216
ILHunter GreeneCIN
-----
ILTyler GlasnowLAD
0492.720.834
ILRyan HelsleyBAL
7152.531.310
SP,RPGriffin JaxTB
0273.601.400
Ete Crow
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
29881290380.337
CSalvador PerezKC
219250.259
1BVladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR
353245.400
2BOzzie AlbiesATL
389290.329
3BKazuma OkamotoTOR
2712330.299
SSElly De La CruzDTDCIN
3812379.339
OFPete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
3372612.327
OFCody BellingerNYY
368375.374
OFRyan WaldschmidtAZ
10075.351
UtilAlec BurlesonSTL
257362.347
UtilBrandon LowePIT
3514360.349
BNRamón LaureanoSD
237217.286
ILMickey MoniakCOL
2112281.335
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
184223.201.0423
SPJoe RyanMIN
0702.940.937
SPEury PérezMIA
0724.601.264
RPTanner ScottLAD
5282.190.690
RPRaisel IglesiasATL
10211.020.850
PJesús LuzardoPHI
0784.301.316
PNolan McLeanNYM
0754.401.095
PBrad KellerPHI
3283.651.140
PShane McClanahanTB
0502.521.041
BNKumar RockerTEX
0443.541.323
BNBailey OberMIN
0464.591.224
BNPayton TolleBOS
0462.610.904
BNMartín PérezATL
0422.791.061
ILMatthew BoydCHC
0316.001.291
ILJosh HaderHOU
-----
Romance Explosion Romance Explosion
vs
Busch Latte Busch Latte
Week 10 • May 25–May 31
27
RomanceBusch
35R37
10HR8
39RBI29
2SB5
.333OBP.363
0SV2
44K66
4.02ERA3.26
1.32WHIP1.10
6QS6

Romance Explosion (formerly Hey Holmes!) went from weekly champ (Week 8, 8–1 all-play) to dead last (Week 9, 0–6–3). Michael 1 dropped Walker Buehler, picked up Reid Detmers (May 24), added Lucas Giolito then dropped him again. Jose Altuve IL, Dylan Cease DTD, Clay Holmes 60-day, Crochet still IL. Active rotation now MacKenzie Gore, Reid Detmers, Kyle Bradish only. J.T. Ginn, Soroka, Cantillo, Vásquez, Will Warren all on bench. The lineup with Bryce Harper, Pete Alonso, Nolan Arenado, Teoscar Hernández, Ben Rice is still the same group that ran a 58–27 cat record two weeks ago. Variance.

Busch just lost 4–5 to Allahu in a matchup where Busch led the league in OBP (.402) and led with a 2.94 ERA. Hunter Brown 60-day, Edwin Díaz 60-day, Kris Bubic IL. Rose picked up Walbert Ureña and Troy Melton. Rotation: George Kirby, Troy Melton, Antonio Senzatela, Ryan Weathers active. Soriano, Strider, Kyle Harrison, Tatsuya Imai, Jacob Misiorowski all on bench, healthy. Paul Sewald closes. The lineup with Ohtani, Arozarena, JJ Wetherholt, Corbin Carroll, Sal Stewart, Jazz Chisholm Jr. is the league’s best all-around.

RBusch edge (68%)
HREven
RBIRomance Explosion slight edge (52%)
SBBusch edge (86%)
OBPBusch edge (75%)
KRomance Explosion lean (62%)
QSBusch lean (56%)
ERAEven
WHIPRomance Explosion slight edge (51%)
SVBusch edge (72%)
Prediction: Busch Latte 6–4. Sim says 70% Busch and expected 5.9–4.1. Busch sweeps R, OBP, SB, ERA, WHIP. Romance gets HR (50/50), K (63%), and a near-flip on RBI. Two teams sitting 28-46-5 in the standings with completely different roster theories collide; Busch has the depth, Romance has to hope the lineup wakes up.
Rosters
Romance Explosion
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
26685261420.313
CBen RiceNYY
4217402.397
1BBryce HarperPHI
3413344.361
2BAngel MartínezDTDCLE
249298.281
3BEugenio SuárezCIN
123130.302
SSMookie BettsLAD
136160.252
OFJulio RodríguezSEA
3212305.326
OFBrent RookerATH
147252.275
OFChandler SimpsonTB
2901214.323
UtilPete AlonsoBAL
3211352.315
UtilDansby SwansonCHC
347275.293
BNNolan ArenadoAZ
277271.357
BNJose AltuveHOU
274121.326
ILTeoscar HernándezLAD
307312.348
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
153094.001.3115
SPReid DetmersLAA
0824.631.184
SPJ.T. GinnATH
0522.871.144
RPLucas ErcegKC
11186.331.920
RPRobert SuarezATL
4220.710.830
PGrant HolmesATL
0533.951.334
BNKai-Wei TengHOU
0432.571.101
BNMacKenzie GoreTEX
0653.961.194
BNMichael SorokaAZ
0603.251.205
BNRandy VásquezSD
0473.281.234
BNKyle BradishBAL
0613.861.474
BNWill WarrenNYY
0653.551.174
ILDylan CeaseTOR
0923.051.214
ILGarrett CrochetBOS
0376.301.473
SP,RPEric LauerLAD
0305.951.391
SP,RPJoey CantilloCLE
0523.571.402
Busch Latte
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
32177297600.365
CWilliam ContrerasMIL
304341.361
1BJonathan ArandaTB
3210420.393
2BJazz Chisholm Jr.NYY
2562014.314
3BSal StewartCIN
34123710.353
SSJJ WetherholtSTL
379256.356
OFCorbin CarrollAZ
367287.384
OFRandy ArozarenaSEA
3962615.376
OFSeiya SuzukiCHC
257190.339
UtilShohei Ohtani (Batter)LAD
3710316.402
UtilMichael BuschCHC
266351.368
BNGeorge SpringerTOR
165143.289
BNLuke KeaschallMIN
2511810.321
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
172643.401.0515
SPGeorge KirbySEA
0593.771.226
SPJacob MisiorowskiMIL
01001.830.836
RPPaul SewaldAZ
14243.800.750
RPAntonio SenzatelaCOL
3261.360.850
PSpencer StriderATL
0323.461.152
PTatsuya ImaiHOU
0236.171.501
BNRyan WeathersNYY
0753.521.144
BNWalbert UreñaLAA
0412.441.384
BNJosé SorianoLAA
0782.651.156
BNKyle HarrisonMIL
0611.571.034
BNTroy MeltonDET
041.420.951
ILHunter BrownHOU
0170.841.031
ILEdwin DíazLAD
41010.502.330
ILKris BubicKC
0514.111.234
Keanu Reeves Keanu Reeves
vs
Allahu Alvarez Allahu Alvarez
Week 10 • May 25–May 31
18
KeanuAlvarez
31R45
9HR17
24RBI49
2SB8
.354OBP.381
2SV2
70K76
4.58ERA3.42
1.25WHIP1.22
7QS4

Keanu just beat the league leader Sonny 5–4 and is sitting at #2 in cumulative cats. Drake Baldwin still IL, Juan Soto DTD with illness, Ryan O’Hearn IL, Edward Cabrera IL, Max Fried IL. Duke Joe added Peter Lambert and Zebby Matthews to the rotation. Active SP group: Cristopher Sánchez, Freddy Peralta, Drew Rasmussen, Zebby Matthews, Peter Lambert with Michael Wacha, Gavin Williams, Luis Severino, Andrew Abbott on bench. Aroldis Chapman closing, Pete Fairbanks the backup. The lineup with Schwarber, Buxton, Soto, Gavin Sheets is HR-heavy.

Allahu Alvarez just put up the best weekly all-play line of the season: 8–0–1 with 53 cat wins, a 1.16 ERA, .88 WHIP, 14 HR. TylerR is still in 8th place in the standings but the trajectory has flipped. Yordan Alvarez DTD, Max Muncy DTD, Alejandro Kirk IL, Nick Pivetta IL, Justin Steele 60-day. Active rotation: Tanner Bibee, Bryce Miller, Logan Gilbert. Kevin Gausman, Spencer Arrighetti, Logan Henderson, Connelly Early, Ranger Suarez on bench. Andrés Muñoz, Louis Varland, Seranthony Domínguez closing. Casey Schmitt and Carson Benge picked up on waivers.

REven
HREven
RBIAllahu lean (57%)
SBKeanu lean (62%)
OBPAllahu slight edge (53%)
KKeanu lean (56%)
QSAllahu slight edge (53%)
ERAEven
WHIPAllahu slight edge (52%)
SVAllahu slight edge (53%)
Prediction: Keanu Reeves 6–4. Sim says 52% Keanu and expected 5.0–5.0. The HR cat is a 51/49 toss-up. Keanu’s SB and K edges flip the matchup. Allahu won’t replicate last week’s 1.16 ERA; the pitching staff is good but not historic. With 5.0–5.0 expected and a sim lean to Keanu, the score gets the favor adjustment to 6–4.
Rosters
Keanu Reeves
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
26298254550.335
1BJosh NaylorSEA
2052412.318
2BNico HoernerCHC
2443311.336
3BColson MontgomeryCWS
2714351.329
SSZach NetoLAA
4210278.344
OFByron BuxtonMIN
4017274.323
OFGavin SheetsSD
229233.343
OFJackson MerrillSD
2552110.274
UtilKyle SchwarberPHI
3622391.350
UtilJuan SotoNYM
2612255.394
BNMatt ChapmanSF
251180.314
BNRyan O'HearnPIT
277291.368
ILDrake BaldwinATL
3913381.389
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
253783.391.1228
SPMichael WachaKC
0602.691.029
SPSpencer MilesTOR
0322.161.020
RPAroldis ChapmanBOS
12230.510.850
RPPete FairbanksMIA
6217.531.400
PGregory SotoPIT
7321.950.760
PDrew RasmussenTB
0553.361.025
PZebby MatthewsMIN
0172.370.843
PAndrew AbbottCIN
0423.881.424
BNFreddy PeraltaNYM
0683.551.303
BNCristopher SánchezPHI
0951.471.129
BNGavin WilliamsCLE
0883.071.096
BNShane BazBAL
0574.481.433
ILEdward CabreraCHC
0474.001.354
ILMax FriedNYY
0503.211.016
SPMerrill KellyAZ
0315.251.424
SPLuis SeverinoATH
0654.161.473
Allahu Alvarez
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
323105315560.355
CDillon DinglerDET
2311340.313
1BFreddie FreemanLAD
288272.364
2BXavier EdwardsMIA
416208.402
3BCasey SchmittSF
2612314.327
SSBobby Witt Jr.KC
2892616.349
OFOneil CruzPIT
40134019.327
OFBryan ReynoldsPIT
376384.403
OFIan HappCHC
3913312.355
UtilYordan AlvarezHOU
3920391.419
UtilRafael DeversSF
227290.288
BNChristian WalkerHOU
3616430.329
BNMax MuncyLAD
3713200.354
ILAlejandro KirkTOR
2120.227
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
343313.201.1911
SPBryce MillerSEA
0142.251.000
SPRanger SuarezBOS
0473.021.083
RPAndrés MuñozSEA
9344.981.340
RPLouis VarlandTOR
8420.291.030
PSeranthony DomínguezCWS
11283.971.150
PTanner BibeeCLE
0554.571.325
PSean BurkeCWS
0543.901.153
BNLogan GilbertSEA
0693.691.114
BNSpencer ArrighettiHOU
0431.341.134
BNKevin GausmanTOR
0663.131.097
BNConnelly EarlyBOS
0572.951.165
ILNick PivettaSD
0244.501.130
ILLogan HendersonMIL
0302.741.041
SPChristian ScottNYM
0382.971.380
RPBryan KingHOU
6192.841.300

Generated May 25 at 12:30 AM Pacific. Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulations per matchup.

📊 Week 10 Recap

Final Scores
Keanu Reeves
Duke Joe
Loss
18
Final
Allahu Alvarez
TylerR
Win
Nick-fil-A
Mario
Win
81
Final
Ete Crow
Jace Allison
Loss
It’s Always Sonny
TylerV
Win
71
Final
Rain City Bombers
Taylor
Loss
One Ball Two Strikes
Garth W
Loss
27
Final
The Buckner Boots
Michael
Win
Romance Explosion
Michael
Loss
27
Final
Busch Latte
Rose
Win
🎯 Prediction Results
MatchupPredictedActual
OBT vs Buckner Buckner 6–4 Buckner 7–2 ✓ Right team
Sonny vs Rain City Sonny 6–4 Sonny 7–1 ✓ Right team
Nick vs Ete Ete 6–4 Nick 8–1 ✗ Badly missed
Romance vs Busch Busch 6–4 Busch 7–2 ✓ Right team
Keanu vs Allahu Keanu 6–4 Allahu 8–1 ✗ Badly missed

3–2 on the week. Three right-team calls and two implosions. The Keanu–Allahu line was the worst miss of the season: sim gave Keanu a 52% edge and the result was 1–8 in the other direction. Nick over Ete by 8–1 also flipped a 75% Ete favor.

🏆 Biggest Win
Allahu Alvarez 8–1 over Keanu Reeves, with 8–0–1 all-play and 63 cat wins. TylerR led the league in R (45), HR (17), RBI (49), OBP (.381), and K (76). It is the second straight week Allahu posted the best all-play line in the league, and the cumulative cat total finally cleared 450. Yordan Alvarez (20 HR on the season) and the Toronto bats kept the lineup printing. Keanu had no answer for any of it. From 8th in standings in Week 8 to back-to-back weekly champ in Weeks 9 and 10.
💥 Choke of the Week
Keanu Reeves 1–8 to Allahu, 1–7–1 all-play, 27 cat wins. Duke Joe was the cumulative #2 going into the week and the sim made him a 52% favorite. He won exactly one category (QS, 7) and tied SV. Everything else was a Yordan-sized crater. Max Fried, Edward Cabrera, and Luis Severino all on the 15-day IL ate into the rotation, but the lineup is what failed: 31 R, 9 HR, 24 RBI against a roster with no obvious advantage. The cumulative cat lead Keanu had built is gone.
🏆 Category Leaders
R
Allahu Alvarez (45)
45 R led the league by 8 over Buckner and Busch (37 each). Allahu’s lineup ran a season-best week. Yordan Alvarez and the AL East bats hammered the box scores.
HR
Allahu Alvarez (17)
17 HR. Second clean HR cat win in two weeks. Yordan Alvarez (20 HR on the season) leading the way, with help from the rest of a deep lineup that did not have a quiet bat.
RBI
Allahu Alvarez (49)
49 RBI led the league by 7. When the team is hitting 17 HR with runners on, the RBI cat is a formality. Three straight cats won outright.
SB
Nick-fil-A (9)
9 SB led the league. Mario’s speed group keeps stacking the SB cat. James Wood and the Pirates baserunners did the work.
OBP
Allahu Alvarez (.381)
.381 OBP. Fourth cat for Allahu in a five-cat sweep at the plate. The lineup that nobody respected on draft day is the most balanced offensive group in the league right now.
K
Allahu Alvarez (76)
76 K led the league. Tanner Bibee anchored the rotation (266 K on the season). When Allahu wins K to go with the offensive sweep, the matchup is over before Saturday.
ERA
Nick-fil-A (2.41)
2.41 staff ERA. Mario’s rotation behind Robbie Ray and a deep bullpen worked clean against Ete. Combined with the 9 SB and .370 OBP, it was a complete-team beating.
WHIP
Nick-fil-A (1.02)
1.02 WHIP. Second pitching cat for Nick. The rotation has not allowed many baserunners in a long time and Ete’s lineup never made contact.
QS
Keanu Reeves (7)
7 QS led the league. Duke Joe got the one cat he could find. Michael Wacha leading the K count for the rotation. The rest of the matchup was misery.
SV
One Ball Two Strikes (4)
4 SV. Garth’s closer crew of Bednar, Megill, and the rest stayed busy in a 2–7 loss to Buckner. The matchup was unwinnable but the SV cat was untouchable.
🔥 Over/Under-Performers

Over: Allahu Alvarez ran the entire offensive top of the leaderboard. The Buckner Boots posted 15 HR and 42 RBI behind Yandy Díaz, CJ Abrams, and Gunnar Henderson, the second-cleanest power week. Nick-fil-A’s rotation worked a 2.41 ERA / 1.02 WHIP slate. Busch Latte ran the .363 OBP and 3.26 ERA against Romance for a clean 7–2 win that did not require any star turn.

Under: Keanu Reeves got a full-team faceplant. The sim made Duke Joe a 52% favorite and the result was 1–8. Ete Crow lost RBI to Nick (30 to 31), OBP (.311 to .370), ERA (3.41 to 2.41), and basically everything except R. Rain City Bombers got Sonny’d 7–1 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Romance Explosion was beaten in every offensive cat except HR and RBI.

🎯 Move of the Week

Allahu Alvarez keeps building from the bottom of the roster. TylerR has now posted back-to-back weekly all-play titles (8–0–1 in Week 9, 8–0–1 in Week 10) from a roster that opened the season in the cellar. The recipe is the same every week: keep the offense full of bats that walk and slug, churn the bench between Yordan, the Toronto core, and whoever Tanner Bibee is striking out next. Honorable mention: Mario at Nick-fil-A managed Tyler Glasnow’s 15-day IL stint and Hunter Greene’s 60-day IL without losing any rotation work, then ran the league-best ERA and WHIP for the week.

🔥 Week 10 All-Play Power Rankings
Rankings based on all-play record: how each team would have done against all 9 other opponents this week, not just the one they actually faced. 90 total category decisions per team.
Elite Tier
1
Allahu Alvarez 8–0–1 all-play 63–21–6 cats W 8–1
8–0–1 all-play, 63 cat wins, 8–1 H2H over Keanu. Led the league in R, HR, RBI, OBP, and K all in the same week. Back-to-back weekly champ. From last place in the standings to weekly destroyer of contenders.
2
Nick-fil-A 8–0–1 all-play 62–21–7 cats W 8–1
8–0–1 all-play, 62 cat wins, 8–1 H2H over Ete. League-best 2.41 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Mario stitched the rotation together around Glasnow and Helsley on IL and got the cleanest pitching week of the year. Within one cat win of Allahu for the weekly title.
Contenders
3
It’s Always Sonny 7–2–0 all-play 54–26–10 cats W 7–1
7–2–0 all-play, 54 cat wins, 7–1 H2H over Rain. TylerV picked up RBI, SB, SV, K, ERA, WHIP, and QS in one matchup with Cal Raleigh, Wyatt Langford, and Cole Ragans all on the IL. The cumulative #1 in cat wins is back to being the cumulative #1 in cat wins.
4
The Buckner Boots 6–3–0 all-play 53–31–6 cats W 7–2
6–3–0 all-play, 53 cat wins, 7–2 H2H over OBT. 15 HR and 42 RBI behind Yandy Díaz, Gunnar Henderson, and CJ Abrams. The sim said 75% Buckner, the result was 7–2. Webb still IL, Seager still IL, the rotation still wins K and ERA.
5
Busch Latte 5–4–0 all-play 44–35–11 cats W 7–2
5–4–0 all-play, 44 cat wins, 7–2 H2H over Romance. Rose ran a 3.26 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and .363 OBP to clean up against the soft side of the bracket. Hunter Brown still 60-day IL but the rest of the rotation held.
Middle of the Pack
6
Ete Crow 2–6–1 all-play 28–54–8 cats L 1–8
2–6–1 all-play, 28 cat wins, 1–8 H2H L to Nick. Second straight week in the cellar of all-play. Jace lost RBI, SB, OBP, K, ERA, WHIP, and QS to Mario. Elly De La Cruz DTD, Eury Pérez and Bailey Ober on 15-day IL.
7
One Ball Two Strikes 2–6–1 all-play 27–56–7 cats L 2–7
2–6–1 all-play, 27 cat wins, 2–7 H2H L to Buckner. League-best 4 SV is one of two cats Garth won. Skubal still IL, Jansen now 15-day IL, Casey Mize 15-day IL. The rotation got thinner and the lineup never showed up.
8
Keanu Reeves 1–7–1 all-play 27–54–9 cats L 1–8
1–7–1 all-play, 27 cat wins, 1–8 H2H L to Allahu. Duke Joe’s 7 QS won one cat. Everything else burned. Max Fried, Edward Cabrera, Luis Severino all 15-day IL pulled the rotation thin, but the lineup is what cracked. Worst week of the year for the cumulative #2.
Cellar Dwellers
9
Romance Explosion 1–7–1 all-play 26–56–8 cats L 2–7
1–7–1 all-play, 26 cat wins, 2–7 H2H L to Busch. HR and RBI were the only cats Michael won. Jose Altuve, Teoscar Hernández, Dylan Cease, and Garrett Crochet all on IL. The roster is bleeding production faster than the waiver wire can replace.
10
Rain City Bombers 1–6–2 all-play 23–53–14 cats L 1–7
1–6–2 all-play, 23 cat wins, 1–7 H2H L to Sonny. OBP (.378) was the lone cat Taylor won. Lindor on 10-day IL, Roman Anthony 10-day IL, Blake Snell 60-day IL. The injury sheet is now bigger than the active roster contribution.
See how this week moved the needle: Cumulative Power Rankings →
🏅 Updated Standings
#TeamOwnerWLT
1It’s Always SonnyTylerV522810
2Keanu ReevesDuke Joe53343
3One Ball Two StrikesGarth W51363
4Nick-fil-AMario46359
5The Buckner BootsMichael39438
6Rain City BombersTaylor40473
7Ete CrowJace Allison38457
8Allahu AlvarezTylerR34506
9Romance ExplosionMichael33507
10Busch LatteRose33516
Teams
Weeks
Week 1 — Mar 25–Mar 29
Week 2 — Mar 30–Apr 5
Week 3 — Apr 6–Apr 12
Week 4 — Apr 13–Apr 19
Week 5 — Apr 20–Apr 26
Week 6 — Apr 27–May 3
Week 7 — May 4–May 10
Week 8 — May 11–May 17
Week 9 — May 18–May 24
Week 10 — May 25–May 31
Week 11 — Jun 1–Jun 7