5 Matchups H2H Categories
The Allahu Alvarez heater meets the soft side of the bracket. TylerR has the two best weekly all-play lines of the season back-to-back (8–0–1 in Weeks 9 and 10) and now draws Romance Explosion, a roster bleeding production to the IL with Cease, Crochet, Altuve, and Teoscar Hernández all out. The sim gives Allahu 75% and the closer slot is a 88% Allahu lock. Standings still say 8th but the all-play table says this is the best roster in the league right now.
Sonny vs OBT for the soul of the top half. Sonny just took the #1 standings spot, lead the league in cumulative cat wins, and the sim gives them 84% over a Garth W roster that has Skubal, Mize, and Jansen on the 15-day IL all at once. The cat table is a 10–0 sweep on paper. Garth holds 3rd in the standings on the back of a 4–9 H2H record that has every other manager confused. This is the week that explains it one way or the other.
Keanu vs Rain is the only true coin flip on the slate. 51% sim, 5.0–5.0 expected, six categories under 60%. Keanu’s closer corps (Chapman, Fairbanks, Soto) is the league’s most balanced and locks SV at 73%. Rain’s rotation depth with Skenes, Wheeler, Imanaga, and Lodolo grabs QS at 62%. Whoever wins R and ERA wins the matchup. After Keanu’s 1–8 collapse against Allahu, this is the bounce-back test.
Buckner vs Ete is a depth check. Both teams have IL situations: Buckner without Murakami and Seager, Ete without Hader, Pérez, Ober, Boyd, Moniak. Buckner has more healthy bench arms (Taj Bradley, Logan Webb, Chris Sale all on bench without IL tags) and a more productive lineup top-to-bottom. Sim says 76% Buckner. The Ete lineup with Vlad and Salvy can hit HR and the Ete bullpen can keep WHIP clean, but the rest of the cats are Buckner’s.
Nick’s SV problem is a structural problem. The sim gave Nick a 93% loss in the SV cat against Busch, which is the largest single-cat probability gap on the slate. Mason Miller is the only closer and his usage is unpredictable. Busch’s Paul Sewald is the only closer on the other side but the depth of saves on Nick’s opponents (almost every team has 2–3 closers) is starting to add up. Until Mario adds a second arm to the bullpen, the SV cat is going to be a weekly loss.
One Ball Two Strikes
It’s Always Sonny
OBT comes in off the 2–7 loss to Buckner and is sitting in 3rd at 51–36–3. Garth’s rotation is now thin: Skubal still 15-day IL, Casey Mize 15-day IL, Kenley Jansen 15-day IL. Yamamoto, Alcantara, Merrill Kelly, and Keider Montero are the active arms with Yesavage, Rodón, Eovaldi, and Chase Burns on the bench as cover. The lineup behind José Ramírez, Matt Olson, and Riley Greene still produces but is no longer the strength.
Sonny is the cumulative cat-wins leader and now 1st in standings at 52–28–10 after the 7–1 over Rain. Cal Raleigh and Wyatt Langford both still IL, Cole Ragans and Brandon Woodruff still IL, but Shohei Ohtani is active as a pitcher and the rotation behind Cam Schlittler, Michael King, Braxton Ashcraft, Landen Roupp, and Emmet Sheehan is six deep. The lineup with Judge, Tatis, Trea Turner, Austin Riley, and Nick Kurtz is one of the best in the league when whole.
CShea LangeliersATH
1BMatt OlsonATL
2BOtto LopezMIA
3BJosé RamírezCLE
SSGeraldo PerdomoAZ
OFJarren DuranBOS
OFJordan WalkerSTL
OFRiley GreeneDET
UtilWillson ContrerasBOS
UtilJeremy PeñaHOU
BNTaylor WardBAL
BNBo BichetteNYM
SPYoshinobu YamamotoLAD
SPSandy AlcantaraMIA
RPDavid BednarNYY
RPTrevor MegillMIL
PKyle FinneganDET
PChase BurnsCIN
BNNathan EovaldiTEX
BNKeider MonteroDET
BNMerrill KellyAZ
BNTrey YesavageTOR
BNCarlos RodónNYY
ILCasey MizeDET
ILKenley JansenDET
ILTarik SkubalDET
NAKade AndersonNASEA
CSamuel BasalloBAL
1BNick KurtzATH
2BFernando Tatis Jr.SD
3BAustin RileyATL
SSTrea TurnerPHI
OFAaron JudgeDTDNYY
OFJackson ChourioMIL
OFAndy PagesLAD
UtilKevin McGonigleDET
UtilWilly AdamesSF
BNCal RaleighSEA
ILWyatt LangfordTEX
NAKaelen CulpepperNAMIN
1B,2B,OFSpencer SteerCIN
SPShohei Ohtani (Pitcher)LAD
SPCam SchlittlerNYY
RPJhoan DuranPHI
RPRiley O'BrienSTL
PMichael KingSD
PBraxton AshcraftPIT
PSonny GrayBOS
PDustin MaySTL
BNLanden RouppDTDSF
BNEmmet SheehanLAD
BNRyne NelsonAZ
BNJared JonesPIT
ILCole RagansKC
ILBrandon WoodruffMIL
Nick-fil-A
Busch Latte
Nick comes in off the 8–1 wipeout of Ete with a league-best 2.41 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Mario sits 4th at 46–35–9. The rotation is still tight: Hunter Greene 60-day IL, Tyler Glasnow 15-day IL, Ryan Helsley 15-day IL. Active arms behind Robbie Ray, Andrew Painter, and Jacob Latz with Seth Lugo, Bryan Woo, Gerrit Cole, and Eduardo Rodriguez all on the bench. The lineup with James Wood, Acuña, Caminero, and Pasquantino is solid but the SV cat is the obvious weakness (Mason Miller alone).
Busch is 10th in standings at 33–51–6 but just took a 7–2 over Romance and ran a .363 OBP, 3.26 ERA week. Hunter Brown still 60-day IL, Edwin Díaz 60-day IL, Kris Bubic 15-day IL. The rotation behind George Kirby, Misiorowski, Senzatela, Strider, and Imai is one of the deepest in the league. The lineup with Ohtani-bat, William Contreras, Aranda, Jazz, Carroll, Arozarena, and Suzuki has been the league’s most patient (.402 OBP in Week 9, .363 last week). Paul Sewald is the only healthy closer.
CHunter GoodmanCOL
1BVinnie PasquantinoKC
2BBrice TurangMIL
3BJunior CamineroTB
SSColt EmersonSEA
OFJames WoodWSH
OFRonald Acuña Jr.ATL
OFJorge MateoATL
UtilCurtis MeadWSH
UtilJoc PedersonTEX
BNKonnor GriffinPIT
SPGerrit ColeNYY
RPMason MillerSD
RPRico GarciaBAL
PJacob LatzTEX
BNDavis MartinCWS
BNTy MaddenDET
BNMichael McGreevySTL
BNEduardo RodriguezAZ
BNGriffin JaxTB
BNRobbie RaySF
BNBryan WooSEA
BNJustin WrobleskiLAD
ILHunter GreeneCIN
ILTyler GlasnowLAD
ILRyan HelsleyBAL
CWilliam ContrerasMIL
1BJonathan ArandaTB
2BJazz Chisholm Jr.NYY
3BSal StewartCIN
SSJJ WetherholtSTL
OFCorbin CarrollAZ
OFRandy ArozarenaSEA
OFSeiya SuzukiCHC
UtilShohei Ohtani (Batter)LAD
UtilMichael BuschCHC
BNLuke KeaschallMIN
BNGeorge SpringerTOR
SPGeorge KirbySEA
SPTroy MeltonDET
RPPaul SewaldAZ
RPAntonio SenzatelaCOL
PWalbert UreñaLAA
BNKyle HarrisonMIL
BNJosé SorianoLAA
BNSpencer StriderATL
BNTatsuya ImaiHOU
BNJacob MisiorowskiMIL
BNRyan WeathersNYY
ILHunter BrownHOU
ILEdwin DíazLAD
ILKris BubicKC
Allahu Alvarez
Romance is 9th in standings at 33–50–7 and 1–7–1 in all-play last week. Michael 1’s rotation is gutted: Dylan Cease 15-day IL, Garrett Crochet 15-day IL, Jose Altuve 10-day IL, Teoscar Hernández 10-day IL, Angel Martínez DTD. Active arms are Reid Detmers, J.T. Ginn, and Grant Holmes with MacKenzie Gore, Kyle Bradish, Will Warren, and Michael Soroka on the bench. The lineup is still potent (Bryce Harper, Julio, Mookie Betts, Pete Alonso, Eugenio Suárez) but the SV cat is dead (Lucas Erceg and Robert Suarez).
Allahu is the back-to-back weekly champ and now 8th in standings at 34–50–6. TylerR is running the hottest roster in the league: 63 cat wins last week, 53 the week before. The rotation behind Bryce Miller, Ranger Suarez, and Tanner Bibee with Logan Gilbert, Kevin Gausman, Spencer Arrighetti, and Connelly Early on the bench is deeper than the active count suggests. Bullpen with Muñoz, Varland, and Domínguez is the league’s best after this week’s historic run. Yordan Alvarez parked on bench but produces every time he’s in the lineup.
CBen RiceNYY
1BBryce HarperPHI
2BAngel MartínezCLE
3BEugenio SuárezCIN
SSMookie BettsLAD
OFJulio RodríguezSEA
OFBrent RookerATH
OFChandler SimpsonTB
UtilPete AlonsoBAL
UtilDansby SwansonCHC
BNNolan ArenadoAZ
BNJose AltuveHOU
ILTeoscar HernándezLAD
SPJ.T. GinnATH
SPMacKenzie GoreTEX
RPLucas ErcegKC
RPRobert SuarezATL
PGrant HolmesATL
BNReid DetmersLAA
BNKai-Wei TengHOU
BNMichael SorokaAZ
BNRandy VásquezSD
BNKyle BradishBAL
BNWill WarrenNYY
ILDylan CeaseTOR
ILGarrett CrochetBOS
CDillon DinglerDET
1BFreddie FreemanLAD
2BXavier EdwardsMIA
3BCasey SchmittSF
SSBobby Witt Jr.KC
OFOneil CruzPIT
OFBryan ReynoldsPIT
OFYordan AlvarezHOU
UtilRafael DeversSF
UtilMax MuncyLAD
BNIan HappCHC
BNChristian WalkerHOU
ILAlejandro KirkTOR
SPSpencer ArrighettiHOU
RPAndrés MuñozSEA
RPLouis VarlandTOR
PSeranthony DomínguezCWS
PClayton BeeterWSH
BNKevin GausmanTOR
BNConnelly EarlyBOS
BNLogan GilbertSEA
BNBryce MillerSEA
BNRanger SuarezBOS
BNTanner BibeeCLE
ILNick PivettaSD
ILLogan HendersonMIL
Keanu Reeves
Rain City Bombers
Keanu just got blown out 1–8 by Allahu but is still 2nd in standings at 53–34–3. The rotation took hits: Max Fried 15-day IL, Edward Cabrera 15-day IL, Luis Severino 15-day IL. Active arms Michael Wacha, Spencer Miles, Drew Rasmussen, Zebby Matthews, and Andrew Abbott with Freddy Peralta, Cristopher Sánchez, Gavin Williams, and Shane Baz on the bench. Closer corps with Aroldis Chapman, Pete Fairbanks, and Gregory Soto is healthy and dangerous. The lineup with Soto, Schwarber, Buxton, Naylor, and Hoerner can hit, but needs the bats to wake up after the Week 10 collapse.
Rain City sits 6th at 40–47–3 and just got dumped 1–7 by Sonny. The IL sheet is the story: Francisco Lindor 10-day IL, Roman Anthony 10-day IL, Blake Snell 60-day IL, Maikel Garcia DTD. The rotation behind Paul Skenes, Zack Wheeler, Shota Imanaga, Nick Martinez, Max Meyer, and Nick Lodolo is six healthy starters. Cade Smith and Abner Uribe in the bullpen. The lineup with Mike Trout, Manny Machado, Yelich, and Soderstrom can hit when the IL clears.
1BRyan O'HearnPIT
2BNico HoernerCHC
3BMatt ChapmanSF
SSColson MontgomeryCWS
OFByron BuxtonMIN
OFJackson MerrillSD
OFKyle SchwarberPHI
UtilJuan SotoNYM
UtilGavin SheetsSD
BNZach NetoDTDLAA
BNJosh NaylorSEA
ILDrake BaldwinATL
SPCristopher SánchezPHI
SPFreddy PeraltaNYM
RPAroldis ChapmanBOS
RPPete FairbanksMIA
PGregory SotoPIT
PAndrew AbbottCIN
PGavin WilliamsCLE
PColin ReaCHC
BNDrew RasmussenTB
BNShane BazBAL
BNMichael WachaKC
BNZebby MatthewsMIN
ILEdward CabreraCHC
ILMax FriedNYY
SPGrayson RodriguezLAA
CLiam HicksMIA
1BMiguel VargasCWS
2BNasim NuñezWSH
3BManny MachadoSD
SSJosé CaballeroNYY
OFTyler SoderstromATH
OFChristian YelichMIL
OFMike TroutLAA
UtilIvan HerreraSTL
UtilMichael Harris IIATL
BNMaikel GarciaDTDKC
BNWill SmithLAD
ILFrancisco LindorNYM
ILRoman AnthonyBOS
SPPaul SkenesPIT
SPJacob deGromTEX
RPCade SmithCLE
RPAbner UribeMIL
PNick MartinezTB
PShota ImanagaCHC
PMax MeyerMIA
PStephen KolekKC
BNBryce ElderATL
BNNick LodoloCIN
BNZack WheelerPHI
ILBlake SnellLAD
Ete Crow
The Buckner Boots
Ete is 7th at 38–45–7 and just got obliterated 1–8 by Nick. Two straight weeks at the bottom of the all-play board. Eury Pérez 15-day IL, Bailey Ober 15-day IL, Matthew Boyd 15-day IL, Josh Hader 60-day IL, Mickey Moniak 10-day IL, Elly De La Cruz DTD. The rotation behind Joe Ryan, Jesús Luzardo, Nolan McLean, and Shane McClanahan is workable but thin. The lineup with Vlad Jr., Salvy, Albies, Bellinger, and PCA is solid when healthy. Closer crew with Tanner Scott and Raisel Iglesias is the SV outlier in this matchup.
Buckner is now 5th at 39–43–8 after the 7–2 over OBT. Murakami still 10-day IL, Corey Seager still 10-day IL, but the rotation behind Framber Valdez, Zack Littell, Ben Brown, Parker Messick, and Roki Sasaki is five active starters with Taj Bradley, Logan Webb, and Chris Sale on the bench. The lineup with Yandy Díaz, CJ Abrams, Kyle Tucker, Gunnar Henderson, Ketel Marte, and Bregman has been the second-most productive in the league two weeks running. Bryan Baker, Daniel Palencia, and Devin Williams give Buckner real save-slot depth.
CSalvador PerezKC
1BVladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR
2BOzzie AlbiesATL
3BKazuma OkamotoTOR
SSEzequiel DuranTEX
OFPete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
OFCody BellingerNYY
OFRyan WaldschmidtAZ
UtilAlec BurlesonSTL
UtilBrandon LowePIT
BNElly De La CruzCIN
ILMickey MoniakCOL
SPJoe RyanMIN
SPDavid SandlinCWS
RPTanner ScottLAD
RPRaisel IglesiasATL
PNolan McLeanNYM
PBrad KellerPHI
PShane McClanahanTB
PCade CavalliWSH
BNJesús LuzardoPHI
BNEury PérezMIA
BNKumar RockerTEX
BNPayton TolleBOS
ILMatthew BoydCHC
ILJosh HaderHOU
CAdley RutschmanBAL
1BYandy DíazTB
2BKetel MarteAZ
3BAlex BregmanCHC
SSCJ AbramsWSH
OFKyle TuckerLAD
OFBrandon NimmoTEX
OFJJ BledayCIN
UtilGunnar HendersonBAL
UtilA.J. EwingNYM
ILMunetaka MurakamiCWS
ILCorey SeagerTEX
SPLogan WebbSF
SPTaj BradleyMIN
RPBryan BakerTB
RPDaniel PalenciaCHC
PDevin WilliamsNYM
BNGage JumpATH
BNEmerson HancockSEA
BNBen BrownCHC
BNRoki SasakiLAD
BNParker MessickCLE
BNZack LittellWSH
BNFramber ValdezDET
BNChris SaleATLGenerated Jun 01 at 7:20 AM Pacific