Week 11

Week 11
Jun 1–Jun 7

5 Matchups H2H Categories

🔎 Week 11 Preview — Jun 1–Jun 7

📚 Storylines to Watch

The Allahu Alvarez heater meets the soft side of the bracket. TylerR has the two best weekly all-play lines of the season back-to-back (8–0–1 in Weeks 9 and 10) and now draws Romance Explosion, a roster bleeding production to the IL with Cease, Crochet, Altuve, and Teoscar Hernández all out. The sim gives Allahu 75% and the closer slot is a 88% Allahu lock. Standings still say 8th but the all-play table says this is the best roster in the league right now.

Sonny vs OBT for the soul of the top half. Sonny just took the #1 standings spot, lead the league in cumulative cat wins, and the sim gives them 84% over a Garth W roster that has Skubal, Mize, and Jansen on the 15-day IL all at once. The cat table is a 10–0 sweep on paper. Garth holds 3rd in the standings on the back of a 4–9 H2H record that has every other manager confused. This is the week that explains it one way or the other.

Keanu vs Rain is the only true coin flip on the slate. 51% sim, 5.0–5.0 expected, six categories under 60%. Keanu’s closer corps (Chapman, Fairbanks, Soto) is the league’s most balanced and locks SV at 73%. Rain’s rotation depth with Skenes, Wheeler, Imanaga, and Lodolo grabs QS at 62%. Whoever wins R and ERA wins the matchup. After Keanu’s 1–8 collapse against Allahu, this is the bounce-back test.

Buckner vs Ete is a depth check. Both teams have IL situations: Buckner without Murakami and Seager, Ete without Hader, Pérez, Ober, Boyd, Moniak. Buckner has more healthy bench arms (Taj Bradley, Logan Webb, Chris Sale all on bench without IL tags) and a more productive lineup top-to-bottom. Sim says 76% Buckner. The Ete lineup with Vlad and Salvy can hit HR and the Ete bullpen can keep WHIP clean, but the rest of the cats are Buckner’s.

Nick’s SV problem is a structural problem. The sim gave Nick a 93% loss in the SV cat against Busch, which is the largest single-cat probability gap on the slate. Mason Miller is the only closer and his usage is unpredictable. Busch’s Paul Sewald is the only closer on the other side but the depth of saves on Nick’s opponents (almost every team has 2–3 closers) is starting to add up. Until Mario adds a second arm to the bullpen, the SV cat is going to be a weekly loss.

Matchup Breakdown

One Ball Two Strikes One Ball Two Strikes
vs
It’s Always Sonny It’s Always Sonny
Week 11 • Jun 1–Jun 7
64
One BallSonny
41R35
11HR10
29RBI31
9SB5
.354OBP.342
1SV6
58K67
4.97ERA4.66
1.15WHIP1.25
5QS4

OBT comes in off the 2–7 loss to Buckner and is sitting in 3rd at 51–36–3. Garth’s rotation is now thin: Skubal still 15-day IL, Casey Mize 15-day IL, Kenley Jansen 15-day IL. Yamamoto, Alcantara, Merrill Kelly, and Keider Montero are the active arms with Yesavage, Rodón, Eovaldi, and Chase Burns on the bench as cover. The lineup behind José Ramírez, Matt Olson, and Riley Greene still produces but is no longer the strength.

Sonny is the cumulative cat-wins leader and now 1st in standings at 52–28–10 after the 7–1 over Rain. Cal Raleigh and Wyatt Langford both still IL, Cole Ragans and Brandon Woodruff still IL, but Shohei Ohtani is active as a pitcher and the rotation behind Cam Schlittler, Michael King, Braxton Ashcraft, Landen Roupp, and Emmet Sheehan is six deep. The lineup with Judge, Tatis, Trea Turner, Austin Riley, and Nick Kurtz is one of the best in the league when whole.

Sonny edge (67%)
Sonny edge (72%)
Sonny lean (64%)
Sonny edge (76%)
Sonny lean (59%)
Sonny edge (76%)
Sonny edge (67%)
Sonny slight edge (52%)
Sonny slight edge (52%)
Sonny edge (70%)
Prediction: It’s Always Sonny 7–3. Sim says 84% Sonny and expected 6.5–3.5. The cat table is a sweep but Garth’s closer crew and the OBT rotation grab a couple of pity wins. Beatdown.
Rosters
One Ball Two Strikes
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
35099322700.351
CShea LangeliersATH
4116331.347
1BMatt OlsonATL
4717472.338
2BOtto LopezMIA
3652710.365
3BJosé RamírezCLE
39103323.345
SSJeremy PeñaHOU
223123.354
OFJarren DuranBOS
32103311.274
OFJordan WalkerSTL
44164710.362
OFRiley GreeneDET
336291.396
UtilGeraldo PerdomoAZ
273228.335
UtilWillson ContrerasBOS
2913391.391
BNTaylor WardBAL
403202.396
BNBo BichetteNYM
305321.285
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
223253.971.2526
SPYoshinobu YamamotoLAD
0732.680.929
SPSandy AlcantaraMIA
0644.331.269
RPDavid BednarNYY
13304.151.460
RPTrevor MegillMIL
8294.701.130
PKyle FinneganDET
1172.121.520
PAaron NolaPHI
0685.861.454
BNMerrill KellyAZ
0375.711.494
BNTrey YesavageTOR
0443.161.172
BNCarlos RodónNYY
0272.881.202
BNChase BurnsCIN
0812.050.958
BNNathan EovaldiTEX
0744.101.186
ILCasey MizeDET
0492.270.975
ILKenley JansenDET
7194.801.200
ILTarik SkubalDET
0452.700.955
NAKade AndersonNASEA
-----
SP,RPKeider MonteroDET
0443.951.034
It’s Always Sonny
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
34081296670.332
CSamuel BasalloBAL
259260.332
1BNick KurtzATH
4212457.431
2BFernando Tatis Jr.SD
2311915.342
3BAustin RileyATL
318344.284
SSTrea TurnerPHI
3972113.280
OFJackson ChourioMIL
194165.351
OFAndy PagesLAD
3814537.330
OFWyatt LangfordTEX
11253.274
UtilKevin McGonigleDET
404249.394
UtilWilly AdamesSF
3411291.288
BNCal RaleighSEA
167182.243
ILAaron JudgeNYY
4317385.375
NAKaelen CulpepperNAMIN
-----
1B,2B,OFSpencer SteerCIN
389243.347
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
324832.771.0441
SPShohei Ohtani (Pitcher)LAD
0670.740.799
SPCam SchlittlerNYY
0891.870.878
RPJhoan DuranPHI
15331.310.820
RPRiley O'BrienSTL
17313.681.160
PBraxton AshcraftPIT
0863.281.088
PMichael KingSD
0693.411.125
PSonny GrayBOS
0443.201.246
PEmmet SheehanLAD
0644.701.215
BNLanden RouppSF
0774.001.295
BNRyne NelsonAZ
0554.601.185
BNJared JonesPIT
0104.821.610
BNDustin MaySTL
0604.591.297
ILCole RagansKC
0454.841.423
ILBrandon WoodruffMIL
0253.601.032
Nick-fil-A Nick-fil-A
vs
Busch Latte Busch Latte
Week 11 • Jun 1–Jun 7
82
NickBusch
39R33
12HR9
35RBI27
7SB5
.355OBP.331
4SV1
65K67
4.33ERA4.16
1.27WHIP1.37
5QS3

Nick comes in off the 8–1 wipeout of Ete with a league-best 2.41 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Mario sits 4th at 46–35–9. The rotation is still tight: Hunter Greene 60-day IL, Tyler Glasnow 15-day IL, Ryan Helsley 15-day IL. Active arms behind Robbie Ray, Andrew Painter, and Jacob Latz with Seth Lugo, Bryan Woo, Gerrit Cole, and Eduardo Rodriguez all on the bench. The lineup with James Wood, Acuña, Caminero, and Pasquantino is solid but the SV cat is the obvious weakness (Mason Miller alone).

Busch is 10th in standings at 33–51–6 but just took a 7–2 over Romance and ran a .363 OBP, 3.26 ERA week. Hunter Brown still 60-day IL, Edwin Díaz 60-day IL, Kris Bubic 15-day IL. The rotation behind George Kirby, Misiorowski, Senzatela, Strider, and Imai is one of the deepest in the league. The lineup with Ohtani-bat, William Contreras, Aranda, Jazz, Carroll, Arozarena, and Suzuki has been the league’s most patient (.402 OBP in Week 9, .363 last week). Paul Sewald is the only healthy closer.

Busch edge (66%)
Busch lean (60%)
Busch lean (62%)
Busch edge (66%)
Busch lean (59%)
Busch slight edge (54%)
Busch slight edge (55%)
Busch lean (56%)
Busch slight edge (52%)
Busch edge (93%)
Prediction: Busch Latte 6–4. Sim says 75% Busch and expected 6.2–3.8. Edge in 10/10 categories but several are paper-thin and Nick’s rotation depth grabs K or QS. The SV cat is the lock at 93%.
Rosters
Nick-fil-A
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
32895263530.354
CHunter GoodmanCOL
3917315.313
1BVinnie PasquantinoKC
256292.306
2BBrice TurangMIL
5093911.401
3BJunior CamineroTB
4114300.376
SSColt EmersonSEA
94100.319
OFJames WoodWSH
57174010.406
OFRonald Acuña Jr.ATL
3172215.373
OFJorge MateoATL
234117.341
UtilCurtis MeadWSH
299283.356
UtilJoc PedersonTEX
248230.347
BNKonnor GriffinPIT
3042214.327
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
313542.771.0315
SPMichael McGreevySTL
0492.991.088
SPGriffin JaxTB
0364.151.410
RPMason MillerSD
18511.010.900
RPRico GarciaBAL
4311.000.630
PJacob LatzTEX
9291.860.620
PNoah CameronKC
0633.841.195
BNEduardo RodriguezAZ
0572.521.187
BNRobbie RaySF
0634.121.404
BNBryan WooSEA
0753.741.008
BNJustin WrobleskiLAD
0442.621.007
BNGerrit ColeNYY
0142.000.892
BNDavis MartinCWS
0732.611.118
ILHunter GreeneCIN
-----
ILTyler GlasnowLAD
0492.720.834
ILRyan HelsleyBAL
7152.531.310
SPJack LeiterTEX
0764.691.372
RPTy MaddenDET
0192.601.040
Busch Latte
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
35787324660.361
CWilliam ContrerasMIL
345391.344
1BJonathan ArandaTB
3411440.380
2BJazz Chisholm Jr.NYY
3082516.306
3BSal StewartCIN
35123910.345
SSJJ WetherholtSTL
409257.358
OFCorbin CarrollAZ
4110317.375
OFRandy ArozarenaSEA
4362918.376
OFSeiya SuzukiCHC
299210.336
UtilShohei Ohtani (Batter)LAD
4411356.417
UtilMichael BuschCHC
276361.369
BNLuke KeaschallMIN
2812110.313
BNGeorge SpringerTOR
175143.289
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
182073.111.0512
SPGeorge KirbySEA
0644.041.286
RPPaul SewaldAZ
15263.470.730
RPAntonio SenzatelaCOL
3301.980.960
PJosé SorianoLAA
0872.961.246
BNJacob MisiorowskiMIL
01161.500.818
BNTatsuya ImaiHOU
0365.241.402
BNKyle HarrisonMIL
0731.571.034
BNSpencer StriderATL
0434.001.282
BNRyan WeathersNYY
0793.861.164
BNWalbert UreñaLAA
0482.681.335
BNTroy MeltonDET
091.740.872
ILHunter BrownHOU
0170.841.031
ILEdwin DíazLAD
41010.502.330
ILKris BubicKC
0514.111.234
Romance Explosion
vs
Allahu Alvarez Allahu Alvarez
Week 11 • Jun 1–Jun 7
19
RomanceAlvarez
25R35
7HR11
16RBI38
6SB12
.282OBP.340
1SV3
23K68
3.18ERA3.89
1.37WHIP1.00
2QS3

Romance is 9th in standings at 33–50–7 and 1–7–1 in all-play last week. Michael 1’s rotation is gutted: Dylan Cease 15-day IL, Garrett Crochet 15-day IL, Jose Altuve 10-day IL, Teoscar Hernández 10-day IL, Angel Martínez DTD. Active arms are Reid Detmers, J.T. Ginn, and Grant Holmes with MacKenzie Gore, Kyle Bradish, Will Warren, and Michael Soroka on the bench. The lineup is still potent (Bryce Harper, Julio, Mookie Betts, Pete Alonso, Eugenio Suárez) but the SV cat is dead (Lucas Erceg and Robert Suarez).

Allahu is the back-to-back weekly champ and now 8th in standings at 34–50–6. TylerR is running the hottest roster in the league: 63 cat wins last week, 53 the week before. The rotation behind Bryce Miller, Ranger Suarez, and Tanner Bibee with Logan Gilbert, Kevin Gausman, Spencer Arrighetti, and Connelly Early on the bench is deeper than the active count suggests. Bullpen with Muñoz, Varland, and Domínguez is the league’s best after this week’s historic run. Yordan Alvarez parked on bench but produces every time he’s in the lineup.

Allahu lean (56%)
Allahu slight edge (51%)
Allahu slight edge (52%)
Allahu edge (70%)
Allahu lean (61%)
Allahu lean (59%)
Allahu lean (64%)
Allahu slight edge (52%)
Allahu lean (56%)
Allahu edge (88%)
Prediction: Allahu Alvarez 6–4. Sim says 75% Allahu and expected 6.1–3.9. The hottest roster in the league against a Romance lineup bleeding production to the IL. SV is the lock; the offensive cats are closer than the win pct suggests.
Rosters
Romance Explosion
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
29994285480.309
CBen RiceNYY
4718452.392
1BBryce HarperPHI
4014375.368
2BAngel MartínezCLE
259299.269
3BEugenio SuárezCIN
134160.287
SSMookie BettsLAD
166170.256
OFJulio RodríguezSEA
3613329.316
OFBrent RookerATH
1910292.284
OFChandler SimpsonDTDTB
3001214.312
UtilPete AlonsoBAL
3813402.324
UtilDansby SwansonCHC
357285.285
BNNolan ArenadoAZ
308301.336
BNJose AltuveHOU
295131.328
ILTeoscar HernándezLAD
307312.348
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
162333.491.3014
SPJ.T. GinnATH
0602.741.085
SPMacKenzie GoreTEX
0704.231.294
RPLucas ErcegKC
12216.001.960
RPRobert SuarezATL
4250.630.840
PGrant HolmesATL
0573.861.325
BNReid DetmersLAA
0884.261.145
BNKai-Wei TengHOU
0443.061.171
BNMichael SorokaAZ
0723.281.156
BNRandy VásquezSD
0533.631.304
BNKyle BradishBAL
0683.891.515
BNWill WarrenNYY
0703.221.205
ILDylan CeaseTOR
0923.051.214
ILGarrett CrochetBOS
0376.301.473
Allahu Alvarez
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
380126375700.357
CDillon DinglerDET
2914440.320
1BFreddie FreemanLAD
3310352.361
2BXavier EdwardsMIA
4162011.387
3BCasey SchmittSF
3115385.313
SSBobby Witt Jr.DTDKC
3392723.354
OFOneil CruzPIT
45144421.350
OFBryan ReynoldsPIT
426395.391
OFYordan AlvarezHOU
4522481.431
UtilChristian WalkerHOU
3916460.319
UtilIan HappCHC
4214342.347
BNMax MuncyLAD
4114220.347
BNRafael DeversSF
308320.293
ILAlejandro KirkTOR
2120.227
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
354983.521.2327
SPKevin GausmanTOR
0793.601.097
SPRanger SuarezBOS
0633.181.144
RPAndrés MuñozSEA
9355.401.370
RPLouis VarlandTOR
11450.260.950
PSeranthony DomínguezCWS
11293.911.170
PTanner BibeeCLE
0634.091.237
PLuis CastilloSEA
0615.161.361
BNConnelly EarlyBOS
0633.261.185
BNBryce MillerSEA
0291.330.781
BNSpencer ArrighettiHOU
0461.941.184
BNLogan GilbertSEA
0773.791.104
ILNick PivettaSD
0244.501.130
ILLogan HendersonMIL
0302.741.041
RPClayton BeeterWSH
4183.181.350
SPChristian ScottNYM
0412.501.310
SPSeth LugoKC
0643.911.368
Keanu Reeves Keanu Reeves
vs
Rain City Bombers Rain City Bombers
Week 11 • Jun 1–Jun 7
54
KeanuRain City
23R31
12HR6
32RBI27
5SB3
.298OBP.323
3SV1
65K64
5.68ERA4.21
1.44WHIP1.16
6QS6

Keanu just got blown out 1–8 by Allahu but is still 2nd in standings at 53–34–3. The rotation took hits: Max Fried 15-day IL, Edward Cabrera 15-day IL, Luis Severino 15-day IL. Active arms Michael Wacha, Spencer Miles, Drew Rasmussen, Zebby Matthews, and Andrew Abbott with Freddy Peralta, Cristopher Sánchez, Gavin Williams, and Shane Baz on the bench. Closer corps with Aroldis Chapman, Pete Fairbanks, and Gregory Soto is healthy and dangerous. The lineup with Soto, Schwarber, Buxton, Naylor, and Hoerner can hit, but needs the bats to wake up after the Week 10 collapse.

Rain City sits 6th at 40–47–3 and just got dumped 1–7 by Sonny. The IL sheet is the story: Francisco Lindor 10-day IL, Roman Anthony 10-day IL, Blake Snell 60-day IL, Maikel Garcia DTD. The rotation behind Paul Skenes, Zack Wheeler, Shota Imanaga, Nick Martinez, Max Meyer, and Nick Lodolo is six healthy starters. Cade Smith and Abner Uribe in the bullpen. The lineup with Mike Trout, Manny Machado, Yelich, and Soderstrom can hit when the IL clears.

Rain slight edge (55%)
Keanu lean (62%)
Keanu slight edge (50%)
Rain edge (66%)
Rain lean (56%)
Keanu lean (57%)
Rain lean (62%)
Rain slight edge (51%)
Rain lean (56%)
Keanu edge (73%)
Prediction: Keanu Reeves 5–5. Sim says 51% Keanu and expected 5.0–5.0. Keanu wins HR, K, SV. Rain wins SB, OBP, QS. Everything else is a coin flip. The standings #2 vs the standings #6 and the model has it dead even.
Rosters
Keanu Reeves
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
297105290460.333
1BRyan O'HearnPIT
309331.359
2BNico HoernerCHC
2643312.331
3BMatt ChapmanSF
304330.326
SSColson MontgomeryCWS
3116381.322
OFByron BuxtonDTDMIN
4118285.319
OFJackson MerrillSD
2762410.275
OFKyle SchwarberPHI
4023401.358
UtilJuan SotoNYM
2813306.366
UtilZach NetoLAA
44123110.337
BNGavin SheetsSD
2410253.324
BNJosh NaylorSEA
2462612.321
ILDrake BaldwinATL
3913381.389
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
295184.521.2733
SPFreddy PeraltaNYM
0743.631.324
SPDrew RasmussenTB
0643.000.926
RPAroldis ChapmanBOS
13260.460.920
RPPete FairbanksMIA
7237.411.530
PGregory SotoPIT
8342.860.880
PMichael WachaKC
0673.441.149
PZebby MatthewsMIN
0264.151.094
PJameson TaillonDTDCHC
0595.191.304
BNEdward CabreraCHC
0534.991.424
BNAndrew AbbottCIN
0474.061.445
BNGavin WilliamsCLE
0943.201.086
BNCristopher SánchezPHI
01031.461.0910
ILMax FriedNYY
0503.211.016
SPShane BazBAL
0664.091.384
SPGrayson RodriguezLAA
0179.501.890
SP,RPColin ReaCHC
1524.591.352
SPColeman CrowMIL
0105.941.500
Rain City Bombers
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
32289303640.336
CLiam HicksMIA
3212471.346
1BMiguel VargasCWS
4715419.370
2BNasim NuñezWSH
2301823.288
3BManny MachadoSD
2911321.254
SSJosé CaballeroNYY
2351615.312
OFTyler SoderstromATH
278301.322
OFChristian YelichMIL
264204.356
OFMike TroutLAA
4714315.392
UtilIvan HerreraSTL
387282.378
UtilMichael Harris IIDTDATL
3013403.340
BNMaikel GarciaKC
293234.327
BNWill SmithDTDLAD
236230.338
ILFrancisco LindorNYM
14252.314
ILRoman AnthonyBOS
12152.354
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
264443.541.1335
SPPaul SkenesPIT
0823.090.915
SPJacob deGromTEX
0843.180.995
RPCade SmithCLE
21432.831.080
RPAbner UribeMIL
5234.031.250
PNick MartinezTB
0422.291.197
PShota ImanagaCHC
0744.741.086
PNick LodoloCIN
0255.511.472
PBryce ElderATL
0712.661.0510
BNZack WheelerPHI
0482.310.836
BNStephen KolekNAKC
0273.320.974
BNMax MeyerMIA
0812.811.054
ILBlake SnellLAD
0512.002.670
Ete Crow Ete Crow
vs
The Buckner Boots The Buckner Boots
Week 11 • Jun 1–Jun 7
44
Ete CrowBuckner
27R27
9HR7
35RBI25
5SB5
.338OBP.287
4SV0
54K66
5.21ERA3.01
1.58WHIP0.99
2QS5

Ete is 7th at 38–45–7 and just got obliterated 1–8 by Nick. Two straight weeks at the bottom of the all-play board. Eury Pérez 15-day IL, Bailey Ober 15-day IL, Matthew Boyd 15-day IL, Josh Hader 60-day IL, Mickey Moniak 10-day IL, Elly De La Cruz DTD. The rotation behind Joe Ryan, Jesús Luzardo, Nolan McLean, and Shane McClanahan is workable but thin. The lineup with Vlad Jr., Salvy, Albies, Bellinger, and PCA is solid when healthy. Closer crew with Tanner Scott and Raisel Iglesias is the SV outlier in this matchup.

Buckner is now 5th at 39–43–8 after the 7–2 over OBT. Murakami still 10-day IL, Corey Seager still 10-day IL, but the rotation behind Framber Valdez, Zack Littell, Ben Brown, Parker Messick, and Roki Sasaki is five active starters with Taj Bradley, Logan Webb, and Chris Sale on the bench. The lineup with Yandy Díaz, CJ Abrams, Kyle Tucker, Gunnar Henderson, Ketel Marte, and Bregman has been the second-most productive in the league two weeks running. Bryan Baker, Daniel Palencia, and Devin Williams give Buckner real save-slot depth.

Buckner edge (69%)
Ete slight edge (51%)
Buckner slight edge (50%)
Buckner lean (58%)
Buckner edge (78%)
Buckner edge (67%)
Buckner lean (65%)
Buckner slight edge (50%)
Ete slight edge (55%)
Buckner edge (79%)
Prediction: The Buckner Boots 6–4. Sim says 76% Buckner and expected 6.1–3.9. Edges in 8 of 10 cats with the lineup, the rotation, and the closers all healthy. Ete sneaks HR off Vlad and Salvy and WHIP off a clean Joe Ryan start, but the matchup is over by Friday.
Rosters
Ete Crow
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
31682324390.336
CSalvador PerezDTDKC
229260.254
1BVladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR
383255.378
2BOzzie AlbiesATL
4110361.332
3BKazuma OkamotoTOR
3213370.316
SSEzequiel DuranTEX
264355.347
OFPete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
37113214.341
OFCody BellingerNYY
389417.373
OFRyan WaldschmidtAZ
10085.327
UtilAlec BurlesonSTL
328432.359
UtilBrandon LoweDTDPIT
4015410.336
ILElly De La CruzCIN
40123710.346
ILMickey MoniakCOL
2112281.335
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
234033.191.0621
SPJoe RyanMIN
0843.071.008
SPCade CavalliWSH
0763.881.445
RPTanner ScottLAD
6312.360.750
RPRaisel IglesiasATL
13240.870.970
PNolan McLeanNYM
0823.981.116
PBrad KellerPHI
3293.581.230
PJosh HaderHOU
140.000.500
PShane McClanahanTB
0592.851.101
BNJesús LuzardoPHI
0804.561.336
BNKumar RockerTEX
0493.541.333
BNEury PérezMIA
0724.601.264
BNPayton TolleBOS
0512.280.975
ILMatthew BoydCHC
0316.001.291
SP,RPDavid SandlinCWS
0148.101.431
The Buckner Boots
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
29585302330.339
CAdley RutschmanBAL
258360.343
1BYandy DíazTB
3211421.399
2BKetel MarteAZ
3711370.300
3BAlex BregmanCHC
295192.327
SSCJ AbramsWSH
4114499.380
OFKyle TuckerLAD
395304.332
OFBrandon NimmoTEX
277222.330
OFJJ BledayCIN
1910282.361
UtilGunnar HendersonBAL
3513326.279
UtilA.J. EwingNYM
11177.340
BNJake BauersMIL
3711405.376
ILMunetaka MurakamiCWS
4320411.378
ILCorey SeagerTEX
238221.284
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
271353.761.313
SPGage JumpATH
0132.451.092
RPBryan BakerTB
16292.131.030
RPDaniel PalenciaCHC
3162.301.210
PDevin WilliamsNYM
8335.571.570
BNBen BrownCHC
1581.740.882
BNFramber ValdezDET
0594.211.327
BNParker MessickCLE
0782.401.074
BNRoki SasakiLAD
0604.031.263
BNChris SaleATL
0862.231.039
BNTaj BradleyMIN
0703.561.325
BNLogan WebbSF
0514.251.266
BNEmerson HancockSEA
0702.800.958
SPBrayan BelloNABOS
0446.341.671

Generated Jun 01 at 7:20 AM Pacific

📊 Week 11 Recap

Final Scores
Romance Explosion
Michael
Loss
010
Final
Allahu Alvarez
TylerR
Win
Busch Latte
Rose
Loss
28
Final
Nick-fil-A
Mario
Win
It’s Always Sonny
TylerV
Loss
46
Final
One Ball Two Strikes
Garth W
Win
Rain City Bombers
Taylor
Loss
45
Final
Keanu Reeves
Duke Joe
Win
Ete Crow
Jace Allison
Tie
44
Final
The Buckner Boots
Michael
Tie
🎯 Prediction Results
MatchupPredictedActual
OBT vs Sonny Sonny 7–3 OBT 6–4 ✗ Badly missed
Nick vs Busch Busch 6–4 Nick 8–2 ✗ Badly missed
Romance vs Allahu Allahu 6–4 Allahu 10–0 ✓ Right team
Keanu vs Rain City Keanu 5–5 Keanu 5–4 ✓ Right team
Ete vs Buckner Buckner 6–4 Tie 4–4 ✗ Missed

2–3 on the week, and both right-team calls (Allahu, Keanu) undersold the margin or the direction. The worst miss was the league leader: the sim made It’s Always Sonny an 84% favorite and predicted Sonny 7–3, and TylerV went out and lost 4–6 to One Ball Two Strikes. Busch as a 75% favorite getting buried 2–8 by Nick-fil-A was a close second. Two heavy favorites, two faceplants.

🏆 Biggest Win
Allahu Alvarez 10–0 over Romance Explosion, with a league-best 8–0–1 all-play and 67 cat wins. TylerR did not just win, he shut out the worst roster in the league and led the field in RBI (38), SB (12), and K (68) in the same week. The midweek rotation churn (Luis Castillo, Seth Lugo, Christian Scott all added) kept the strikeouts coming, and Bobby Witt Jr. and Oneil Cruz supplied the speed nobody else can match. From the cellar earlier this season to the hottest team in the league.
💥 Choke of the Week
It’s Always Sonny lost 4–6 to One Ball Two Strikes as an 84% favorite. The standings leader, the team with the best record in the league, drew a beatable OBT side and lost the week. TylerV won SV and three other categories and nothing else mattered. Garth’s 41 runs and the freshly-added Aaron Nola flipped a game the model had all but conceded. The cushion at the top is still there, but the aura took a hit.
🏆 Category Leaders
R
One Ball Two Strikes (41)
One Ball Two Strikes pushed 41 runs across, 2 clear of the field, and it powered the win over the standings leader. José Ramírez and Matt Olson set the table all season.
HR
Nick-fil-A (12)
Nick-fil-A and Keanu Reeves both cleared 12 long balls. Nick’s came inside an 8–2 dismantling of Busch; Schwarber and Buxton kept Keanu in the HR race.
RBI
Allahu Alvarez (38)
Allahu Alvarez drove in a league-high 38 on the way to a 10–0 sweep. Yordan Alvarez and Christian Walker have been the steadiest run-producers in the league.
SB
Allahu Alvarez (12)
Allahu Alvarez ran for 12 bags, more than anyone. Bobby Witt Jr. and Oneil Cruz give TylerR the most speed in the league by a wide margin.
OBP
Nick-fil-A (.355)
Nick-fil-A posted a .355 clip, edging Allahu’s .342. James Wood and Brice Turang get on base in front of the power.
SV
It’s Always Sonny (6)
It’s Always Sonny banked 6 saves, the only category TylerV won in a losing week. Jhoan Duran and Riley O’Brien anchor the deepest closer room in the league.
K
Allahu Alvarez (68)
Allahu Alvarez fanned 68, tops in the league, a week after streaming in Luis Castillo and Seth Lugo. The churn keeps producing strikeouts.
ERA
The Buckner Boots (3.01)
The Buckner Boots ran a 3.01 ERA, best in the league this week, and still only managed a 4–4 tie. Michael’s ratios were elite; the schedule was not.
WHIP
The Buckner Boots (0.99)
The Buckner Boots also led WHIP at a microscopic 0.99. Joe Ryan and a clean rotation week gave Michael the best run-prevention line in the league.
QS
Keanu Reeves (6)
Keanu Reeves and Rain City both posted 6 quality starts. Duke Joe’s late-week rotation streaming (Grayson Rodriguez, Colin Rea) paid off in volume.
🔥 Over/Under-Performers

Over: Allahu Alvarez ran the offensive leaderboard, topping the league in RBI, SB, and K on the way to a 10–0 sweep. The Buckner Boots posted the best pitching ratios in the league, a 3.01 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP, behind a clean Joe Ryan rotation week. One Ball Two Strikes outscored everyone with 41 runs and used it to knock off the standings leader. Nick-fil-A’s 8–2 win came with league-best HR and OBP marks.

Under: Romance Explosion got swept 0–10 and finished dead last in all-play at 0–9 with just 19 cat wins, beaten in every category by the field. Busch Latte ran a respectable 5–4 all-play line and still lost 2–8 because it drew the buzzsaw. It’s Always Sonny, the league’s best record, lost outright as a heavy favorite. Rain City Bombers stayed glued to the bottom of the all-play table at 1–6–2.

🎯 Move of the Week

Allahu Alvarez turned the waiver wire into a strikeout factory. TylerR spent the week churning the back of the rotation, adding Luis Castillo, Seth Lugo, and Christian Scott off free agency, then led the league in K (68) and rode it to a 10–0 sweep and a league-best 8–0–1 all-play week. It is the same recipe every week now: stream arms, keep the bats deep, win categories in bunches. Honorable mention: Garth W at One Ball Two Strikes grabbed Aaron Nola midweek and promptly beat the standings leader 6–4.

🔥 Week 11 All-Play Power Rankings
Rankings based on all-play record: how each team would have done against all 9 other opponents this week, not just the one they actually faced. 90 total category decisions per team.
Elite Tier
1
Allahu Alvarez 8–0–1 all-play 67–19–4 cats W 10–0
8–0–1 all-play, a league-high 67 cat wins, and a 10–0 sweep of Romance to match. Led the league in RBI, SB, and K in the same week. TylerR is the hottest team in the league and it is not close.
2
Nick-fil-A 8–0–1 all-play 63–21–6 cats W 8–2
8–0–1 all-play and 63 cat wins behind an 8–2 beatdown of Busch. Mario led the league in HR and OBP and his rotation streaming keeps printing. The only team keeping pace with Allahu this week.
Contenders
3
One Ball Two Strikes 6–2–1 all-play 52–32–6 cats W 6–4
6–2–1 all-play and the scalp of the week: a 6–4 takedown of standings leader It’s Always Sonny. The Aaron Nola pickup landed at the right time and the league-best 41 runs did the rest.
4
It’s Always Sonny 6–3–0 all-play 52–32–6 cats L 4–6
6–3 all-play and still a losing H2H result. The standings leader was an 84% favorite and lost 4–6 to OBT. SV was the only category TylerV won. A rare off week, but the cushion is still there.
5
Busch Latte 5–4–0 all-play 33–45–12 cats L 2–8
The unluckiest team of the week. 5–4 all-play, good enough to beat five other rosters, but Rose drew Nick-fil-A and got buried 2–8. The schedule, not the roster, is the problem this week.
Middle of the Pack
6
Keanu Reeves 3–5–1 all-play 35–47–8 cats W 5–4
The luckiest draw of the week. A losing 3–5–1 all-play line and just 35 cat wins, but Duke Joe drew Rain City and squeaked out a 5–4 H2H win. He led the league in QS. The result flatters the week.
7
Ete Crow 2–5–2 all-play 27–54–9 cats T 4–4
2–5–2 all-play and a 4–4 tie with Buckner. Jace took a draw out of a week where most opponents would have beaten him. Treading water.
8
The Buckner Boots 1–6–2 all-play 35–47–8 cats T 4–4
The all-play/ratio paradox of the week. League-best ERA (3.01) and WHIP (0.99), yet just 1–6–2 all-play. Michael’s pitching was elite and the rest of the roster could not keep up. A 4–4 tie was a gift.
Cellar Dwellers
9
Rain City Bombers 1–6–2 all-play 32–53–5 cats L 4–5
1–6–2 all-play and a 4–5 loss to Keanu in a coin-flip. Taylor had the QS to stay close but not enough across the board. The week away from the bottom is razor thin.
10
Romance Explosion 0–9–0 all-play 19–65–6 cats L 0–10
0–9 all-play, 19 cat wins, swept 0–10. Michael’s second roster was beaten in every category by everyone. The clear worst week in the league.
See how this week moved the needle: Cumulative Power Rankings →
🏅 Updated Standings
RankTeamRecordPct
1It’s Always Sonny63–35–12.627
2Nick-fil-A62–38–10.609
3Keanu Reeves59–46–5.559
4One Ball Two Strikes59–47–4.555
5Allahu Alvarez52–51–7.505
6The Buckner Boots50–49–11.505
7Ete Crow43–57–10.436
8Rain City Bombers45–59–6.436
9Busch Latte42–61–7.414
10Romance Explosion35–67–8.355

Generated Jun 08 at 10:11 AM Pacific

Teams
Weeks
Week 1 — Mar 25–Mar 29
Week 2 — Mar 30–Apr 5
Week 3 — Apr 6–Apr 12
Week 4 — Apr 13–Apr 19
Week 5 — Apr 20–Apr 26
Week 6 — Apr 27–May 3
Week 7 — May 4–May 10
Week 8 — May 11–May 17
Week 9 — May 18–May 24
Week 10 — May 25–May 31
Week 11 — Jun 1–Jun 7
Week 12 — Jun 8–Jun 14
Week 13 — Jun 15–Jun 21
Week 14 — Jun 22–Jun 28
Week 15 — Jun 29–Jul 5
Week 16 — Jul 6–Jul 12
Week 17 — Jul 13–Jul 19