Week 8

Week 8
May 11–May 17

5 Matchups H2H Categories

🔎 Week 8 Preview — May 11–May 17

📚 Storylines to Watch

The trade ripples are about to be tested. Sonny gave up Trout and Uribe to land Tatis Jr. and Braxton Ashcraft, and now they get The Buckner Boots in a matchup the sim has at 60%. Rain City got Trout and Uribe and immediately drew Nick-fil-A as the favorite. Both teams that swapped headlines are favored this week. The trade was supposed to upgrade both sides. Week 8 says it did.

One Ball Two Strikes catches their first real upset risk in three weeks. Three straight weeks of beating sim favorites and now Garth gets a 36% chance against Hey Holmes! Why? Skubal still IL, Eovaldi DTD, and Hey’s pitching depth (Taillon, Cameron, Gore, Clay Holmes, Dustin May, Dylan Cease) is actually deep when the active slots are full. The lineup edges are basically a coin flip. If Garth wins this 6–4, the unbeaten streak versus the sim hits four.

Ete Crow vs Allahu is the regression rubber match. Ete went 9–0 in Week 6, 2–6–1 in Week 7. Allahu went 7–1–1 in Week 5, 3–3–3 in Week 6, 3–4–2 in Week 7. Both teams have been on bouncing trajectories for a month. Sim says Allahu 68%. SV is the lopsided category (.05 t0 means Allahu wins SV 95% of sims). Jace’s closer hole is going to keep showing up until Tanner Scott is ramped up.

Keanu vs Busch is the coin flip the league has been waiting on. Sim 46% Keanu, expected 4.8–5.2. Keanu just dropped a 97-K performance with 7 QS and 14 HR. Busch responded to a 0–9 disaster with a 6–4 win and league-best SB. Both rosters healthy, both rotations deep. This is the closest sim line of the week and the one most likely to be decided by a single Sunday start.

The Sonny / OBT / Keanu gap is officially open. Top 3 cumulative power rankings, all within 11 cat wins of each other, and now the standings show a tier break. Sonny / OBT / Keanu all sit at or above .56 winning percentage. Nick-fil-A at .580 is the only contender keeping pace. Everyone else is .500 or below. Six weeks from the trade deadline. Three teams are running their own race.

Matchup Breakdown

One Ball Two Strikes One Ball Two Strikes
vs
Hey Holmes! Hey Holmes!
Week 8 • May 11–May 17
27
One BallHey
23R31
7HR11
28RBI32
8SB6
.322OBP.324
1SV1
72K70
4.71ERA2.36
1.17WHIP1.04
5QS7

OBT comes in off back-to-back upsets of sim favorites: 9–1 over Busch and 8–2 over Allahu. Garth is now the cumulative #1 in cat wins. The rotation is still Yamamoto / Alcantara / Rodón on top with Burns, Yesavage, and Griffin behind, and the lineup is producing R (41 last week) and OBP (.381 last week) at the top of the league. Skubal IL hurts, but only on the K cat ceiling.

Hey Holmes! lost 7–3 to Rain City on a 4.48 ERA week. Bryce Harper, Pete Alonso, Dansby Swanson, Jose Altuve, and Brent Rooker headline the lineup. Crochet IL is the rotation hole; Jameson Taillon, Noah Cameron, MacKenzie Gore, Clay Holmes, and Dustin May still give Michael five startable arms. Hottest week from this roster is 8–2 over Buckner in Week 5; the floor has been low. Sim sees a 64% Hey win on the pitching depth alone.

RHey Holmes! slight edge (56%)
HRHey Holmes! lean (64%)
RBIHey Holmes! lean (65%)
SBHey Holmes! edge (80%)
OBPOBT lean (59%)
KHey Holmes! lean (63%)
QSHey Holmes! lean (59%)
ERAOBT slight edge (52%)
WHIPOBT lean (58%)
SVOBT slight edge (57%)
Prediction: Hey Holmes! 6-4. Sim says 64%. Garth has flipped a sim favorite three weeks running. Don’t rule out a 5–5 or another upset, but on paper Michael’s rotation is the difference.
Rosters
One Ball Two Strikes
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
27071233440.379
CShea LangeliersATH
3212270.396
1BMatt OlsonATL
3614371.356
2BOtto LopezMIA
274205.368
3BJosé RamírezCLE
2761720.353
SSGeraldo PerdomoAZ
162127.335
OFJordan WalkerSTL
3413347.379
OFRiley GreeneDET
274231.419
OFTaylor WardBAL
281131.424
UtilRyan JeffersMIN
236251.400
UtilWillson ContrerasBOS
209251.363
BNJarren DuranBOS
194189.238
BNBo BichetteNYM
192181.264
ILJeremy PeñaHOU
5001.304
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
223304.191.2524
SPYoshinobu YamamotoLAD
0483.601.006
SPSandy AlcantaraMIA
0453.531.267
RPKenley JansenDET
7183.651.050
RPDavid BednarNYY
10223.791.420
PTrevor MegillMIL
5205.631.250
PNathan EovaldiTEX
0474.151.174
PJack FlahertyDET
0445.731.731
BNCasey MizeDET
0392.431.054
BNCarlos RodónNYY
0105.631.630
BNTrey YesavageTOR
0211.401.291
BNChase BurnsCIN
0551.871.006
ILTarik SkubalDET
0452.700.955
NAKade AndersonNASEA
-----
SP,RPJanson JunkMIA
0374.141.242
SP,RPFoster GriffinWSH
0493.531.144
Hey Holmes!
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
24768223280.329
CBen RiceNYY
3414302.412
1BBryce HarperPHI
2711292.378
2BJose AltuveNAHOU
274121.326
3BNolan ArenadoAZ
246200.348
SSMookie BettsLAD
10490.255
OFJulio RodríguezSEA
237205.320
OFBrent RookerATH
106212.290
OFChandler SimpsonTB
2401214.335
UtilTeoscar HernándezLAD
225221.341
UtilPete AlonsoBAL
278231.308
BNKyle StowersMIA
11131.300
BNDansby SwansonCHC
276253.297
ILEugenio SuárezCIN
103110.300
2B,3B,SS,OFMauricio DubónATL
193250.305
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
171173.371.383
SPMichael SorokaAZ
0473.531.323
RPLucas ErcegKC
10173.441.470
RPRobert SuarezATL
4190.470.880
BNMacKenzie GoreTEX
0534.501.252
BNWill WarrenNYY
0593.421.163
BNJoey CantilloCLE
0453.401.352
BNRandy VásquezSD
0452.681.114
BNDustin MaySTL
0354.811.426
BNDylan CeaseTOR
0752.411.184
BNKyle BradishBAL
0524.211.533
ILClay HolmesNYM
0452.391.104
ILGarrett CrochetBOS
0376.301.473
RPJeff HoffmanTOR
3346.051.860
It’s Always Sonny It’s Always Sonny
vs
The Buckner Boots The Buckner Boots
Week 8 • May 11–May 17
52
SonnyBuckner
31R32
7HR7
29RBI23
4SB2
.327OBP.324
4SV4
75K59
3.38ERA2.75
0.93WHIP1.22
5QS5

Sonny just delivered a 7–0–2 all-play week with league-best ERA (2.29) and WHIP (1.03). Judge, Trea Turner, Riley, McGonigle, and now Tatis Jr. (from the trade) carry the lineup. Ragans and Woodruff IL stashes; Ohtani, Schlittler, King, and Roupp anchor active. Ashcraft also came over and immediately joins a deep rotation. The 5–4 win over Nick-fil-A was the closer matchup the team has played this year.

Buckner has gone 1–6–2, then 0–9 in two straight weeks. Logan Webb still IL, Framber Valdez still suspended, Taj Bradley still IL. Three startable SPs (Parker Messick, Chris Sale, Emerson Hancock) with Noah Schultz and Trevor Rogers waiting. Tucker, Bregman, CJ Abrams, and Jasson Domínguez are still the lineup spine. The 5 SV last week kept Michael from a 1–9. The sim still sees enough talent to hand them OBP and SV.

REven
HRSonny slight edge (54%)
RBISonny slight edge (53%)
SBSonny lean (58%)
OBPBuckner lean (59%)
KSonny edge (86%)
QSSonny slight edge (57%)
ERASonny slight edge (53%)
WHIPSonny slight edge (55%)
SVBuckner edge (75%)
Prediction: It’s Always Sonny 6-4. Sim has it 60% and 5.3–4.7. Sonny’s K edge alone covers an off rotation day. Buckner’s only path is winning the rate cats by enough to drown out the strikeout gap.
Rosters
It’s Always Sonny
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
25273243470.354
CMoisés BallesterosCHC
146200.308
1BNick KurtzATH
298295.426
2BFernando Tatis Jr.SD
1501510.310
3BAustin RileyATL
226253.283
SSTrea TurnerPHI
294146.289
OFAaron JudgeNYY
3816305.406
OFAndy PagesLAD
2610396.357
OFMickey MoniakCOL
2112281.356
UtilKevin McGonigleDET
282167.397
UtilWilyer AbreuBOS
216193.380
BNCal RaleighSEA
167182.243
ILWyatt LangfordTEX
9143.274
NACharlie CondonNACOL
-----
2B,3B,SS,OFBrendan DonovanSEA
9381.386
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
203182.231.0028
SPShohei Ohtani (Pitcher)LAD
0500.820.827
SPCam SchlittlerNYY
0681.350.786
RPJhoan DuranPHI
7191.541.110
RPRiley O'BrienSTL
13252.450.910
PMichael KingSD
0502.631.094
PSonny GrayBOS
0213.181.153
PBraxton AshcraftPIT
0563.091.055
PPeter LambertHOU
0292.761.133
BNLanden RouppSF
0583.491.144
BNEmmet SheehanLAD
0494.541.253
BNMitch KellerPIT
0383.591.086
BNShane McClanahanTB
0412.270.981
ILCole RagansKC
0454.841.423
ILBrandon WoodruffMIL
0253.601.032
The Buckner Boots
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
22267219230.355
CAdley RutschmanBAL
146240.314
1BYandy DíazTB
216261.373
2BA.J. EwingNYM
4131.400
3BMunetaka MurakamiCWS
3217320.376
SSGunnar HendersonBAL
239225.256
OFKyle TuckerLAD
304203.349
OFBrandon NimmoTEX
184121.347
OFJJ BledayCIN
126191.440
UtilCJ AbramsWSH
289377.393
UtilAlex BregmanCHC
204142.341
BNKetel MarteAZ
215150.272
BNCorey SeagerDTDTEX
227201.286
OFSteven KwanCLE
201102.316
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
201973.731.2614
SPChris SaleATL
0641.960.918
SPRoki SasakiLAD
0315.881.631
RPDevin WilliamsNYM
6234.911.500
RPBryan BakerTB
11232.951.090
PDaniel PalenciaCHC
392.251.130
PTrevor RogersBAL
0305.771.543
BNEmerson HancockSEA
0563.021.016
BNFramber ValdezDET
0424.321.366
BNNoah SchultzCWS
0264.911.362
BNParker MessickCLE
0582.350.994
BNBen BrownCHC
1341.600.860
ILTaj BradleyMIN
0522.871.195
ILLogan WebbSF
0425.061.405
ILCaleb ThielbarCHC
2113.121.270
SP,RPTrevor McDonaldSF
0172.371.002
Nick-fil-A Nick-fil-A
vs
Rain City Bombers Rain City Bombers
Week 8 • May 11–May 17
55
NickRain City
29R24
6HR3
31RBI17
3SB2
.317OBP.248
3SV4
62K73
5.04ERA3.73
1.47WHIP1.01
4QS6

Nick-fil-A lost 5–4 to Sonny but posted a league-leading 93 K week and 6 QS. Mario’s lineup (Caminero, Wood, Caglianone, Goodman) was second in HR. Cole, Glasnow, and Helsley remain IL; Bubba Chandler, Davis Martin, Wrobleski, and Eduardo Rodriguez carry the rotation. The H2H loss did not match the all-play (6–3); roster strength is still real.

Rain City just landed Mike Trout and Abner Uribe in the only trade of the season, then went 7–3 over Hey Holmes! Skenes, deGrom, Imanaga, Nick Martinez, and Bryce Elder is a five-deep active rotation with Wheeler / Lugo / Lodolo / Meyer on bench. Lindor, Yelich, Roman Anthony, and Correa all on the IL means the lineup is leaning hard on the trade pickup. Sim now gives Rain City 66% on the pitching depth.

RNick-fil-A slight edge (51%)
HRNick-fil-A slight edge (55%)
RBINick-fil-A slight edge (51%)
SBRain City slight edge (53%)
OBPRain City slight edge (56%)
KRain City slight edge (53%)
QSRain City lean (60%)
ERARain City lean (60%)
WHIPRain City lean (64%)
SVRain City edge (95%)
Prediction: Rain City Bombers 6-4. Sim says 66%. Mario’s lineup gets the slight power edge but the rate stats and saves go Rain City. Trout joining the lineup at the right time.
Rosters
Nick-fil-A
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
28480271490.339
CHunter GoodmanCOL
2611191.314
1BVinnie PasquantinoKC
185221.286
2BBrice TurangMIL
356279.414
3BJunior CamineroTB
2711210.333
SSKonnor GriffinPIT
1932010.317
OFJames WoodWSH
3812297.384
OFChase DeLauterCLE
166260.366
OFDaylen LileWSH
297253.332
UtilCole YoungSEA
203262.330
UtilBrayan RocchioCLE
173258.357
BNRonald Acuña Jr.ATL
17297.362
NAColt EmersonSEA
-----
2B,OFAngel MartínezCLE
218228.313
1B,OFJac CaglianoneKC
18590.318
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
222073.361.094
RPMason MillerSD
14440.860.760
RPRico GarciaBAL
3220.470.420
PJacob LatzTEX
5172.080.600
BNEduardo RodriguezAZ
0392.531.264
BNJustin WrobleskiLAD
0272.491.035
BNDavis MartinCWS
0591.610.987
BNBlake SnellLAD
0512.002.670
BNMichael McGreevySTL
0362.100.886
BNReid DetmersLAA
0534.381.263
BNRobbie RaySF
0493.041.174
BNBryan WooSEA
0473.911.006
ILTyler GlasnowLAD
0492.720.834
ILRyan HelsleyBAL
7152.531.310
ILGerrit ColeNYY
-----
SP,RPMike BurrowsHOU
0465.721.532
SPTyler MahleSF
0485.591.561
SPChris BassittBAL
0305.441.701
Rain City Bombers
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
23965234400.338
CLiam HicksMIA
229401.350
1BMiguel VargasCWS
3311276.373
2BMaikel GarciaKC
253184.333
3BManny MachadoSD
236201.279
SSNasim NuñezWSH
1801419.313
OFTyler SoderstromATH
225201.282
OFMike TroutLAA
3311235.402
OFMichael Harris IIATL
178242.331
UtilIvan HerreraSTL
254201.398
UtilJorge SolerLAA
218280.320
BNChristian YelichMIL
101103.350
BNWill SmithLAD
164190.336
ILJosé CaballeroNYY
1841313.320
ILFrancisco LindorNYM
14252.314
ILRoman AnthonyBOS
12152.354
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
202873.031.0617
SPPaul SkenesPIT
0561.980.645
SPJacob deGromTEX
0613.020.913
RPCade SmithCLE
14312.911.110
RPAbner UribeMIL
4184.671.210
PDennis SantanaPIT
2104.421.470
PMax MeyerMIA
0543.211.151
PNick MartinezTB
0351.511.045
PZack WheelerPHI
0222.550.933
BNBryce ElderATL
0562.010.997
BNShota ImanagaCHC
0592.320.906
BNNick LodoloCIN
088.681.610
Keanu Reeves Keanu Reeves
vs
Busch Latte Busch Latte
Week 8 • May 11–May 17
73
KeanuBusch
36R39
16HR6
34RBI27
9SB12
.327OBP.399
3SV2
67K64
4.60ERA6.00
1.37WHIP1.42
5QS2

Keanu came back hard with an 8–2 win over Buckner: league-best K (97), HR (14), QS (7), and RBI (35). The rotation that imploded in Week 6 (Sánchez, Abbott, Williams) reset hard with Max Fried, Freddy Peralta, and Edward Cabrera on bench. Robert Jr. is still IL but Schwarber, Crow-Armstrong, Drake Baldwin, and Buxton are carrying the lineup. Duke Joe’s back in the contender tier.

Busch went 6–4 over Ete Crow on the strength of a 10 SB week, .348 OBP, and 4 QS from Kirby / Soriano / Bubic. The lineup (Suzuki, Bogaerts, Sal Stewart, Jazz Chisholm, Michael Busch, Luke Keaschall) is healthy. The rotation has six startable arms with Imai, Brown, and Bryce Miller all on IL. Sewald and De Los Santos are the only closers. Sim sees a true coin flip.

RBusch slight edge (53%)
HRKeanu slight edge (52%)
RBIKeanu slight edge (51%)
SBBusch edge (76%)
OBPBusch lean (60%)
KKeanu lean (58%)
QSEven
ERAKeanu slight edge (52%)
WHIPKeanu slight edge (53%)
SVEven
Prediction: Busch Latte 5-4. Sim says 54% and expected 4.8–5.2. With QS and SV looking like ties, the score is going to be a half category off the predicted total. Closest matchup of the week.
Rosters
Keanu Reeves
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
23980248390.340
CDrake BaldwinATL
3913361.385
1BJosh NaylorSEA
145209.318
2BNico HoernerCHC
214298.337
3BMatt ChapmanSF
161150.291
SSZach NetoLAA
307207.340
OFKyle SchwarberPHI
3320361.365
OFJuan SotoNYM
156143.383
OFJackson MerrillSD
224188.275
UtilColson MontgomeryCWS
2213311.333
UtilRyan O'HearnPIT
277291.368
BNByron BuxtonDTDMIN
3315234.319
ILLuis Robert Jr.NYM
10282.327
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
213423.611.1715
SPGavin WilliamsCLE
0663.741.173
SPFreddy PeraltaNYM
0503.101.223
RPAroldis ChapmanBOS
10210.570.890
RPPete FairbanksMIA
5159.001.500
PLuis SeverinoATH
0544.451.572
PGregory SotoPIT
4262.420.850
PJameson TaillonCHC
0424.971.203
PDrew RasmussenTB
0433.160.914
BNAndrew AbbottCIN
0354.211.503
BNCristopher SánchezPHI
0801.821.207
BNEdward CabreraCHC
0454.061.314
BNMichael WachaKC
0472.830.997
ILMax FriedNYY
0503.211.016
RPTyler PhillipsMIA
2251.081.240
Busch Latte
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
27369264580.354
CWilliam ContrerasMIL
233270.357
1BJonathan ArandaTB
248340.384
2BJazz Chisholm Jr.NYY
1941612.298
3BSal StewartCIN
26103110.328
SSJJ WetherholtSTL
338225.358
OFCorbin CarrollAZ
285216.384
OFRandy ArozarenaSEA
3241712.394
OFLuke RaleySEA
1910271.333
UtilShohei Ohtani (Batter)LAD
297226.379
UtilMichael BuschCHC
193241.350
BNSeiya SuzukiCHC
217170.371
BNLuke KeaschallMIN
2011510.306
BNGeorge SpringerTOR
9281.272
SSXander BogaertsSD
217235.333
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
131468.462.096
SPGeorge KirbySEA
0462.841.165
RPPaul SewaldAZ
9194.700.910
RPAntonio SenzatelaCOL
3251.270.810
BNJosé SorianoLAA
0672.411.075
BNSpencer StriderATL
0182.451.231
BNKris BubicKC
0514.111.234
BNKyle HarrisonMIL
0482.091.192
BNJacob MisiorowskiMIL
0802.120.904
BNTatsuya ImaiHOU
0169.242.050
BNRyan WeathersNYY
0543.001.113
ILHunter BrownHOU
0170.841.031
ILEdwin DíazLAD
41010.502.330
SPBraxton GarrettMIA
0333.756.750
SP,RPAaron CivaleATH
0352.701.391
RPTony SantillanCIN
1185.501.500
Ete Crow Ete Crow
vs
Allahu Alvarez Allahu Alvarez
Week 8 • May 11–May 17
45
Ete CrowAlvarez
27R39
8HR10
21RBI23
6SB6
.275OBP.372
3SV2
52K64
3.00ERA4.04
1.00WHIP1.28
6QS3

Ete Crow regressed from a 9–0 all-play sweep to a 4–6 loss to Busch in one week. The 61 cat wins dropped to 36. Joe Ryan, Tyler Mahle, Chase Dollander, Luzardo, and Payton Tolle make up the rotation; Nolan McLean, Bailey Ober, and Eury Pérez on bench. Boyd IL, Hader 60-day. The closer slot is the lingering problem (Tanner Scott is the only realistic SV bet).

Allahu lost 8–2 to OBT but the all-play (3–4–2) said the roster played a near-.500 week. League-leading 10 HR. The lineup (Walker, Yordan, Muncy, Witt Jr., Happ, Freeman) is healthy except for Kirk (IL). Muñoz / Domínguez / Varland is the league’s deepest closer group. With Pivetta and Steele on long IL, the rotation is Gilbert + Henderson + Jack Perkins on top of a deep bench of Bibee / Suarez / Gausman / Scott.

RAllahu lean (69%)
HRAllahu lean (59%)
RBIAllahu lean (60%)
SBEte Crow lean (61%)
OBPAllahu edge (71%)
KEte Crow lean (58%)
QSAllahu slight edge (53%)
ERAAllahu slight edge (54%)
WHIPAllahu slight edge (54%)
SVAllahu edge (76%)
Prediction: Allahu Alvarez 6-4. Sim says 68%. Ete Crow takes SB and K, splits ERA / WHIP / QS as the rotation works. Jace’s closer hole gives Allahu the SV cat for free.
Rosters
Ete Crow
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
23165237310.334
CSalvador PerezKC
166180.232
1BVladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR
252193.370
2BOzzie AlbiesATL
308250.332
3BKazuma OkamotoTOR
2310270.319
SSElly De La CruzCIN
3410309.363
OFPete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
2552011.312
OFCody BellingerNYY
275305.364
OFAlec BurlesonSTL
216332.342
UtilBrandon LowePIT
2612310.346
UtilJackson ChourioMIL
4141.362
BNRamón LaureanoSD
195194.299
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
153403.101.0420
SPJoe RyanMIN
0523.201.015
SPBailey OberMIN
0393.461.024
RPTanner ScottLAD
4181.470.600
RPRaisel IglesiasATL
8170.000.730
PJesús LuzardoPHI
0615.071.334
PPayton TolleBOS
0302.050.783
PBrad KellerPHI
3233.861.230
PEury PérezMIA
0534.941.373
BNNolan McLeanNYM
0642.920.965
ILMatthew BoydCHC
0316.001.291
ILJosh HaderHOU
-----
SP,RPChase DollanderCOL
0473.891.301
Allahu Alvarez
BATTING
RHRRBISBOBP
TOTALS
28589260400.375
CDillon DinglerDET
178280.314
1BChristian WalkerHOU
2711300.342
2BXavier EdwardsMIA
324154.404
3BMax MuncyLAD
3412190.373
SSBobby Witt Jr.KC
2272313.383
OFYordan AlvarezHOU
3015311.429
OFOneil CruzPIT
35103216.325
OFHenry BolteATH
0021.400
UtilIan HappCHC
3510202.374
UtilBryan ReynoldsPIT
294263.392
BNFreddie FreemanLAD
164201.339
BNRafael DeversSF
175180.296
ILAlejandro KirkTOR
2120.227
1BJonathan ArandaTB
248340.384
PITCHING
SVKERAWHIPQS
TOTALS
242003.521.238
SPKevin GausmanTOR
0483.861.095
RPAndrés MuñozSEA
8295.291.350
RPLouis VarlandTOR
5340.381.180
PSeranthony DomínguezCWS
10214.081.250
BNLogan GilbertSEA
0574.451.153
BNLogan HendersonMIL
0233.501.061
BNConnelly EarlyBOS
0453.211.203
BNSpencer ArrighettiHOU
0351.501.193
BNTanner BibeeCLE
0474.151.354
BNRanger SuarezBOS
0402.440.953
BNBryce MillerSEA
033.381.690
ILNick PivettaSD
0244.501.130
ILJustin SteeleCHC
-----
RPPierce JohnsonCIN
1173.931.360
SPChristian ScottNYM
0203.451.400
SP,RPKeider MonteroDET
0313.650.993

Generated May 12 at 5:39 PM Pacific

📊 Week 8 Recap

Final Scores
One Ball Two Strikes
Garth W
Loss
27
Final
Hey Holmes!
Michael
Win
Keanu Reeves
Duke Joe
Win
73
Final
Busch Latte
Rose
Loss
It’s Always Sonny
TylerV
Win
52
Final
The Buckner Boots
Michael
Loss
Ete Crow
Jace Allison
Loss
45
Final
Allahu Alvarez
TylerR
Win
Nick-fil-A
Mario
Tie
55
Final
Rain City Bombers
Taylor
Tie
🎯 Prediction Results
MatchupPredictedActual
OBT vs Hey Hey 6–4 Hey 7–2 ✓ Right team
Sonny vs Buckner It’s Always Sonny 6–4 Sonny 5–2 ✗ Badly missed
Nick vs Rain City Rain City 6–4 TIE 5–5 ✗ Missed
Keanu vs Busch Busch 5–4 Keanu 7–3 ✗ Badly missed
Ete vs Allahu Allahu 6–4 Allahu 5–4 ✓ Right team

2–1–2 on the week: two right-team calls, one tie the sim never priced in, and the headline miss of the season. Keanu 7–3 over Busch wasn’t even close to the 5–4 Busch prediction, and OBT 2–7 was the third consecutive Garth game the sim got upside down (this time the opposite direction). The model was 19% on the OBT-Hey matchup last week and finally collected. The bigger miss: Keanu was 46% to win and dropped 16 HR on Busch.

🏆 Biggest Win
Hey Holmes! 7–2 over One Ball Two Strikes, with 8–1 all-play and 58 cat wins. Michael was a 36% underdog, sitting in 10th place, with Crochet still IL. He posted league-best ERA (2.36), WHIP (1.04), and tied for league-best QS (7). Bryce Harper 1 HR / 5 RBI, Teoscar Hernández 1 HR / 5 RBI / 4 R, Brent Rooker 1 HR / 3 RBI, Ben Rice 1 HR / 1 RBI / 3 R, plus a fresh Nolan Arenado pickup added 24 R and 6 HR worth of presence to the lineup. The pitching depth that the sim has been undervaluing all year finally cashed. Three weeks of OBT cooking sim favorites and now Garth is the one getting cooked.
💥 Choke of the Week
Nick-fil-A: 0–8–1 all-play, 24 cat wins out of 90, 5.04 ERA, 1.47 WHIP. Mario was in 4th place and matched Hey Holmes! at 36% favorite. Instead Nick-fil-A turned in the worst all-play line of any team this season. Angel Martínez (3 HR / 5 RBI / 7 R / 3 SB) was actually a star, but the rotation collapsed: Cole still IL, Glasnow still IL, Helsley still IL, and the depth got Chris Bassitt dropped the same Sunday night the matchup ended. The 5–5 tie with Rain City was lipstick on a pig. From contender to the worst weekly all-play of the season in one weekend.
🏆 Category Leaders
R
Busch Latte & Allahu Alvarez (39, tied)
Two teams tied at 39 R. Busch ran on Randy Arozarena (5 R), JJ Wetherholt (3 R), Sal Stewart (3 R), Corbin Carroll (4 R), and Ohtani (4 R). Allahu countered with Max Muncy (7 R), Oneil Cruz (4 R), Bobby Witt Jr. (3 R), and Bryan Reynolds. Both lost their H2H matchups anyway.
HR
Keanu Reeves (16)
16 home runs in a week. Kyle Schwarber 4 HR / 9 RBI. Drake Baldwin 3 HR. Colson Montgomery 3 HR. Juan Soto 2 HR. Duke Joe lapped the rest of the league. Busch had 6.
RBI
Keanu Reeves (34)
34 RBI. Schwarber drove in 9 alone. The Keanu lineup that was second in HR last week led both HR and RBI this week. Nobody else in the league cracked 33 RBI.
SB
Busch Latte (12)
12 SB led the league. Randy Arozarena (3), Corbin Carroll (2), Sal Stewart (2), Ohtani (1), Jazz Chisholm Jr. (1), Wetherholt and others contributed. Rose has now led the SB cat in two of the last three weeks.
OBP
Busch Latte (.399)
.399 team OBP. JJ Wetherholt, Ohtani, Arozarena, and Carroll all got on at high clips. Rose led SB, led OBP, and somehow still lost 7–3 because the rotation gave up 6.00 ERA. Two great offensive cats can’t cover a 6.00 ERA.
K
It’s Always Sonny (75)
75 strikeouts behind Cam Schlittler (24), Braxton Ashcraft (28), Michael King (25), and Ohtani the pitcher (26 K). Even with Ragans and Woodruff IL, the rotation depth keeps producing. League-best K total of the week for the second time this season.
ERA
Hey Holmes! (2.36)
2.36 staff ERA in a 7–2 upset. The rotation behind Jameson Taillon (until traded), Noah Cameron, MacKenzie Gore, Clay Holmes, Dustin May, and Joey Cantillo all delivered. Crochet was still IL. The deepest pitching matchup in the league was the cheap-favorite OBT and they won it cleanly.
WHIP
It’s Always Sonny (0.93)
Sub-.95 staff WHIP. Hits and walks both held down. The Sonny rotation is now the most consistent in the league: 0.93 WHIP, 75 K, and 3.38 ERA in the same week. Tied for second-best Buckner-killer behind only the K count.
QS
Hey Holmes! (7)
Seven quality starts. The pitching staff Michael drafted around had its best week of the year. Taillon, Gore, Cameron, Holmes, May all contributed. The QS cat that was supposed to belong to the elite rotations this week went to the team in 10th place.
SV
Sonny / Buckner / Rain City (4, three-way tie)
Three teams tied at 4 SV. Sonny got two from Jhoan Duran and one from Riley O’Brien. Rain City had Cade Smith pile up 3 alone. Buckner’s closer share held. The 4-save cap reflects that almost nobody had a closer-heavy week.
🔥 Over/Under-Performers

Over: Kyle Schwarber (4 HR / 9 RBI for Keanu) and Nick Kurtz (3 HR / 9 RBI for Sonny) both crushed their Steamer baselines. Bobby Witt Jr. (Allahu) finally had a complete week: 2 HR / 4 RBI / 3 R / 1 SB. Angel Martínez was the sole functioning bat on Nick-fil-A: 3 HR / 5 RBI / 7 R / 3 SB on a 0–8–1 all-play roster. Drake Baldwin and Colson Montgomery each chipped in 3 HR / 3-4 RBI for Keanu and made the difference in the 16-HR cat lead.

Under: Mike Trout went 0–0–0–0 in his first full Rain City week after the trade. Ozzie Albies went 0–0–0–0 for Ete Crow. Matt Olson (0 HR for OBT). Aaron Judge (0 HR / 0 RBI for Sonny, only 3 R). Pete Alonso (0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 R for Hey). The team that won the matchup despite Pete Alonso doing nothing is a real story. Jackson Merrill (Keanu) also had a 0-stat week and the team still scored 16 HR.

🎯 Move of the Week

Hey Holmes! adding Nolan Arenado from waivers on May 13. Michael was sitting in 10th place after a 3–7 loss to Rain City. He dropped Mauricio Dubón (who at least had a 1 HR / 2 RBI week with Hey) for Arenado, then went on to post the best all-play week in the league. Arenado hit at the lineup’s most ineffective spot and added depth at 3B behind Bryce Harper, Pete Alonso, and Jose Altuve. The team that has rolled 1–8, 2–6–1, 0–9, 3–5–1, 3–4–2, and 1–8 in all-play across the first seven weeks just went 8–1. Sometimes the right \$0 pickup is the difference between 10th and weekly champ. Honorable mention: Rain City picking up Nasim Nuñez (19 SB on the season) for what looks like long-term SB cat insurance.

🔥 Week 8 All-Play Power Rankings
Rankings based on all-play record: how each team would have done against all 9 other opponents this week, not just the one they actually faced. 90 total category decisions per team.
Elite Tier
1
Hey Holmes! 58–27–5 cats 8–1–0 all-play W 7–2
8–1 all-play and a league-best 58 cat wins. From 10th place to weekly champ. Bryce Harper, Teoscar Hernández, Brent Rooker, and Ben Rice all chipped in 1 HR. The rotation ran a 2.36 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 7 QS while Crochet sat IL. Michael upset Garth 7–2 in a matchup the sim had at 64% the wrong way.
2
It’s Always Sonny 56–25–9 cats 7–1–1 all-play W 5–2
7–1–1 all-play, 56 cat wins, 5–2 over Buckner. Nick Kurtz dropped 3 HR / 9 RBI. Mickey Moniak added 1 HR / 7 RBI. The rotation posted league-best WHIP (.93) and 75 K. Sonny’s second straight elite week. The two best pitching staffs in the league played each other and the deeper one won.
Contenders
3
Keanu Reeves 56–28–6 cats 7–0–2 all-play W 7–3
7–0–2 all-play, 56 cat wins, 7–3 H2H over Busch. The HR cat exploded: Schwarber 4, Drake Baldwin 3, Colson Montgomery 3, Juan Soto 2. 16 HR / 34 RBI both league highs. Severino 30 K, Taillon 24 K, Peralta steady. Sim had it 46% and Duke Joe handed the model another L.
4
Allahu Alvarez 42–42–6 cats 4–3–2 all-play W 5–4
4–3–2 all-play, 42 cat wins, 5–4 H2H over Ete. Bobby Witt Jr. (2 HR / 4 RBI / 3 R / 1 SB), Yordan Alvarez (2 HR), Max Muncy (7 R), and Dillon Dingler (2 HR) carried the lineup. 39 R was tied for league high. Gausman steady at the front of the rotation. The first really decent TylerR week in three.
5
Ete Crow 40–45–5 cats 3–5–1 all-play L 4–5
3–5–1 all-play, 40 cat wins. Lost 4–5 to Allahu in a matchup the sim wanted Allahu to win 6–4. Payton Tolle 28 K, Jesús Luzardo 23 K, the rotation actually pitched (3.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 6 QS). Just couldn’t hit. 27 R / 8 HR / .275 OBP. Ozzie Albies went 0–0–0–0.
Middle of the Pack
6
The Buckner Boots 38–42–10 cats 3–4–2 all-play L 2–5
3–4–2 all-play, 38 cat wins, 2–5 L to Sonny. Murakami chipped in 2 HR / 3 RBI. JJ Bleday came over from waivers and hit. Chris Sale 25 K kept the rotation alive while Webb, Bradley, Valdez, and Strider all remained out. Better than the 0–9 prior week but still no real top-end thump.
7
One Ball Two Strikes 35–49–6 cats 2–5–2 all-play L 2–7
2–5–2 all-play, 35 cat wins, 2–7 H2H L to Hey Holmes! Three weeks of upsetting sim favorites caught up with Garth. The rotation took a 4.71 ERA / 1.17 WHIP beating. Matt Olson 0 HR. José Ramírez 0 HR but 4 SB. The sim said 35% Garth and the model was right for once.
8
Busch Latte 37–49–4 cats 1–5–3 all-play L 3–7
1–5–3 all-play, 37 cat wins, 3–7 H2H L to Keanu. Randy Arozarena 1 HR / 4 RBI / 5 R / 3 SB was the bright spot. League-best 12 SB and .399 OBP. But 6 HR, 27 RBI, and 6.00 team ERA killed the matchup. The rotation Antonio Senzatela was streamed for did 3 SV and 105 K (season figures, mostly RP).
Cellar Dwellers
9
Rain City Bombers 35–51–4 cats 1–4–4 all-play T 5–5
1–4–4 all-play, 35 cat wins, 5–5 tie with Nick-fil-A. The Trout addition went 0–0–0–0 in his Rain City debut week. Miguel Vargas 2 HR / 5 RBI / 5 R led. Skenes 26 K, deGrom 23 K, Martinez 23 K. Cade Smith 3 SV. Taylor still didn’t lose H2H. He didn’t win it either.
10
Nick-fil-A 24–63–3 cats 0–8–1 all-play T 5–5
0–8–1 all-play, 24 cat wins, 5–5 tie with Rain City. Worst week of any team this season by all-play. Angel Martínez 3 HR / 5 RBI / 7 R / 3 SB was actually huge. Then the rotation went 5.04 ERA / 1.47 WHIP. Mario dropped Chris Bassitt the same day. From contender to crisis in one weekend.
See how this week moved the needle: Cumulative Power Rankings →
🏅 Updated Standings
#TeamOwnerWLT
1It’s Always SonnyTylerV48239
2Keanu ReevesDuke Joe48302
3One Ball Two StrikesGarth W45332
4Nick-fil-AMario42308
5The Buckner BootsMichael34388
6Rain City BombersTaylor35423
7Ete CrowJace Allison34415
8Hey Holmes!Michael30455
9Busch LatteRose29465
10Allahu AlvarezTylerR29465

Generated May 18 · Stats from Yahoo Fantasy API end-of-week totals

Teams
Weeks
Week 1 — Mar 25–Mar 29
Week 2 — Mar 30–Apr 5
Week 3 — Apr 6–Apr 12
Week 4 — Apr 13–Apr 19
Week 5 — Apr 20–Apr 26
Week 6 — Apr 27–May 3
Week 7 — May 4–May 10
Week 8 — May 11–May 17
Week 9 — May 18–May 24
Week 10 — May 25–May 31
Week 11 — Jun 1–Jun 7
Week 12 — Jun 8–Jun 14
Week 13 — Jun 15–Jun 21
Week 14 — Jun 22–Jun 28