5 Matchups H2H Categories
The Ragans Administration's run continues TylerV is now atop the standings (32-14-4), atop the cumulative power rankings, and just posted back-to-back 9-0 all-play weeks with 67 and 69 cat wins. The roster has no holes. Cal Raleigh is hitting 4 HR weeks at catcher. Aaron Judge, Mike Trout, Nick Kurtz, Kevin McGonigle, and now Ceddanne Rafaela all hit. The rotation runs six deep before Landen Roupp on the bench. Hey Holmes! is the kind of opponent that sometimes catches a hot team flat. The sim has Ragans at 60%. We will see if anything cools this team off.
Buckner has a chance to forget Week 5 ever happened The Buckner Boots went 0-9 all-play with 15 cat wins last week. The worst single-week performance any team has put up in 2026. Now they get Nick-fil-A. The sim still has Buckner at 75%, and the cat probabilities back it up. 9 of 10 categories lean Buckner. The roster (Tucker, Seager, Murakami, Marte, Bregman, Sale, Valdez, Webb) is still loaded. Mario can pile up SB and tries to close the HR gap, but Mason Miller and Helsley do not save you when the lineup is hitting .280 OBP and the rotation is below your opponent's.
Keanu vs Ete Crow is the only real coin flip Sim says Keanu 53%. Expected score 5.0-5.0. Most categories are sitting at 0.47-0.59 either way. Duke Joe just had his worst pitching week of the season (5.37 ERA) and Ete Crow's Nolan McLean is coming off 17 K. Keanu's edge is the bullpen depth (Chapman, Fairbanks) and balanced power. Ete's edge is the SB game (PCA, Marsee) and a deep rotation that includes McLean, Luzardo, Tolle, and Eury Pérez. Whichever lineup gets healthy first wins this matchup. Juan Soto has been on Keanu's bench with no counting stats for two weeks running.
The hidden-strength teams are still favored Allahu Alvarez is 17-29-4 in the standings but went 7-1-1 all-play last week with the most saves and a Christian Walker / Max Muncy power week. Busch Latte is 19-26-5 but led the league in SB and HR despite a 5.58 ERA. The sim has both teams favored this week. Allahu over Rain City at 69% on the strength of league-best closer depth (Muñoz, Domínguez, Varland, Pagán) facing a Rain City bullpen that has thrown for the wrong team for two months. Busch over OBT at 67%, with Rose's lineup grading out the strongest of any underperforming roster. Two teams whose true strength is not in their record.
One Ball Two Strikes
Busch Latte
Garth is coming off a sneaky 6-4 win over Ete Crow with Foster Griffin's waiver-add 7 IP shutout. The rotation depth (Skubal, Yamamoto, Sandy Alcantara, Eovaldi, Mize, Burns, Foster Griffin, Connelly Early) is still the deepest in the league with eight healthy SPs. Matt Olson and Riley Greene are the offensive engine. The sim sees the lineup as a notch below Busch's offensive ceiling, so OBT has to ride pitching ratios and bullpen here.
Rose has Spencer Strider, Hunter Brown, Bryce Miller, Tatsuya Imai, and Edwin Díaz all on the IL. Five rotation/bullpen pieces gone. The roster has filled in with Bubic, Misiorowski, Soriano, Ryan Weathers, and the Kyle Harrison waiver-add. Despite the IL, the sim has Busch at 67% on the strength of a top-3 offense in HR/R/SB and an OBP edge fueled by Seiya Suzuki, Jazz Chisholm, JJ Wetherholt, and Shohei Ohtani's bat side.
CShea LangeliersATH
1BWillson ContrerasDTDBOS
2BOtto LopezMIA
3BJosé RamírezCLE
SSGeraldo PerdomoAZ
OFJordan WalkerSTL
OFTaylor WardBAL
OFJarren DuranBOS
UtilMatt OlsonATL
UtilRiley GreeneDET
BNBo BichetteNYM
ILJeremy PeñaHOU
NANoelvi MarteNACIN
SPTarik SkubalDET
SPYoshinobu YamamotoLAD
RPKenley JansenDET
RPDavid BednarNYY
PTrevor MegillMIL
PChase BurnsCIN
PTrey YesavageTOR
PSteven MatzTB
BNFoster GriffinWSH
BNConnelly EarlyBOS
BNSandy AlcantaraMIA
BNNathan EovaldiDTDTEX
ILCasey MizeDET
ILCarlos RodónNYY
CWilliam ContrerasMIL
1BSal StewartCIN
2BJJ WetherholtSTL
3BJazz Chisholm Jr.NYY
SSXander BogaertsSD
OFSeiya SuzukiCHC
OFRandy ArozarenaSEA
OFCorbin CarrollAZ
UtilShohei Ohtani (Batter)LAD
UtilMichael BuschCHC
BNGeorge SpringerTOR
BNLuke KeaschallMIN
SSWilly AdamesSF
SPGeorge KirbySEA
SPSpencer StriderATL
RPPaul SewaldAZ
RPAlex VesiaLAD
PKris BubicKC
BNEnyel De Los SantosHOU
BNRyan WeathersNYY
BNKyle HarrisonMIL
BNJacob MisiorowskiMIL
BNJosé SorianoLAA
BNTatsuya ImaiHOU
ILHunter BrownHOU
ILBryce MillerSEA
ILEdwin DíazLAD
The Ragans Administration
Ragans is the league's hottest team. Two straight 9-0 all-play weeks. The active rotation is six deep (Ragans, Ohtani, Schlittler, King, Keller, Castillo) with Roupp, McClanahan, and Woodruff on the bench as additional starting depth. Wyatt Langford on IL10 and Sonny Gray on IL15 are the only real injury hits. Cal Raleigh, Aaron Judge, Mike Trout, Nick Kurtz are putting up MVP-caliber lines together. There is no obvious weakness on this team right now.
Hey Holmes! just won 8-2 over Buckner but the all-play was 3-5-1, so the actual roster strength is still middle-tier. Mookie Betts (IL10), Eugenio Suárez (IL10), Ryan Pepiot (IL60) are all out. The active rotation has five healthy SPs (Vásquez, Cease, Warren, Gore, May) plus Garrett Crochet, Clay Holmes, Grant Holmes, and Kyle Bradish on the bench. SBs (Julio, Chandler Simpson) and the closer (Ryan Walker) are the cleanest edges Michael has against the Ragans juggernaut.
CCal RaleighSEA
1BNick KurtzATH
2BTravis BazzanaCLE
3BAustin RileyATL
SSTrea TurnerPHI
OFAaron JudgeNYY
OFMike TroutLAA
OFAndy PagesLAD
UtilKevin McGonigleDET
UtilMickey MoniakCOL
ILWyatt LangfordTEX
2B,OFCeddanne RafaelaBOS
SPCole RagansKC
SPShohei Ohtani (Pitcher)LAD
RPRiley O'BrienSTL
RPAbner UribeMIL
PCam SchlittlerNYY
PMichael KingSD
PLanden RouppSF
PLuis CastilloSEA
BNMitch KellerPIT
BNEmmet SheehanLAD
BNShane McClanahanTB
BNBrandon WoodruffMIL
BNSonny GrayBOS
ILJhoan DuranPHI
ILHunter GreeneCIN
CBen RiceNYY
1BPete AlonsoBAL
2BJose AltuveHOU
3BMauricio DubónATL
SSDansby SwansonCHC
OFJulio RodríguezSEA
OFChandler SimpsonDTDTB
OFTeoscar HernándezLAD
UtilBryce HarperPHI
UtilBrent RookerATH
BNKyle StowersMIA
ILEugenio SuárezCIN
ILMookie BettsLAD
SPDylan CeaseTOR
SPPeter LambertHOU
RPJeff HoffmanTOR
RPRyan WalkerNASF
PLucas ErcegKC
PWill WarrenNYY
PMacKenzie GoreTEX
PClay HolmesNYM
BNRandy VásquezSD
BNDustin MaySTL
BNGrant HolmesATL
BNKyle BradishBAL
ILGarrett CrochetBOS
Nick-fil-A
The Buckner Boots
Mario won 6-3 last week off a 14 HR week (Caminero, Wood, Caglianone, Goodman). The rotation has zero active starters on Sunday but 8 healthy SPs on the bench (McGreevy, Detmers, Wrobleski, Robbie Ray, Bubba Chandler, Brady Singer, Bryan Woo, Davis Martin, Tyler Glasnow). Snell and Cole are IL15. The bullpen (Mason Miller, Ryan Helsley, Gus Varland) is elite. SB is the one category Mario projects to dominate, on the strength of Konnor Griffin, Acuña, and Luke Raley.
Buckner is coming off the worst week any team has had in 2026: 0-9 all-play, 15 cat wins. The roster is still loaded, though: Kyle Tucker, Corey Seager, Munetaka Murakami, Ketel Marte, Brandon Nimmo, Alex Bregman, plus Steven Kwan and the Jasson Domínguez add. The rotation has 8 healthy SPs available (Sale, Schultz, Cantillo, Bradley, Valdez, Webb, Trevor Rogers, plus active Hancock and Messick), with Devin Williams as the closer. The sim sees a heavy bounce-back and projects Buckner to win 9 of 10 categories.
CHunter GoodmanCOL
1BVinnie PasquantinoKC
2BBrice TurangMIL
3BJunior CamineroTB
SSKonnor GriffinPIT
OFRonald Acuña Jr.ATL
OFJames WoodWSH
OFJac CaglianoneKC
UtilCole YoungSEA
UtilAngel MartínezCLE
NAColt EmersonNASEA
2B,3B,SS,OFDaniel SchneemannCLE
1B,OFLuke RaleySEA
SPJustin WrobleskiLAD
RPMason MillerSD
RPGus VarlandWSH
PJacob LatzTEX
BNMichael McGreevySTL
BNReid DetmersLAA
BNBrady SingerCIN
BNRobbie RaySF
BNBryan WooSEA
BNBubba ChandlerPIT
BNTyler GlasnowLAD
BNDavis MartinCWS
BNKade AndersonNASEA
ILRyan HelsleyBAL
ILBlake SnellLAD
ILGerrit ColeNYY
CAdley RutschmanBAL
1BMunetaka MurakamiCWS
2BKetel MarteAZ
3BAlex BregmanCHC
SSCJ AbramsWSH
OFBrandon NimmoTEX
OFKyle TuckerLAD
OFSteven KwanCLE
UtilCorey SeagerTEX
UtilGunnar HendersonBAL
BNYandy DíazTB
BNMoisés BallesterosCHC
OFJasson DomínguezNYY
SPParker MessickCLE
RPDevin WilliamsNYM
RPBryan BakerTB
PElmer RodríguezNANYY
BNChris SaleATL
BNEmerson HancockSEA
BNNoah SchultzCWS
BNFramber ValdezDET
BNLogan WebbSF
BNTaj BradleyMIN
ILTrevor RogersBAL
ILCaleb ThielbarCHC
ILDaniel PalenciaCHC
Keanu Reeves
Ete Crow
Duke Joe just had his worst pitching week of the season (5.37 ERA, 1.39 WHIP). The rotation has six active SPs (Abbott, Williams, Rasmussen, Sánchez, Peralta, Fried), and Max Fried's 12 K, 0.00 ERA was the bright spot. The rest of the staff was a fire. The bullpen (Chapman, Fairbanks) is still league-best. Drake Baldwin's 2 HR, 8 R week was a return to form. Juan Soto on the bench with zero counting stats two weeks running is an obvious problem.
Jace lost 4-6 to OBT but his roster is genuinely strong now. Five active SPs (Ober, McLean, Luzardo, Boyd, Tolle) with Eury Pérez, Joe Ryan, Tyler Mahle, and Chase Dollander on the bench. Nine healthy SPs total. McLean's 17 K week was the league-best K total. Elly De La Cruz (3 HR, 8 RBI) and Vladimir Guerrero (1 HR, 4 RBI, 6 R) are putting up real lines. Pete Crow-Armstrong and Jakob Marsee give Ete the SB edge in this matchup.
CDrake BaldwinATL
1BRyan O'HearnPIT
2BNico HoernerCHC
3BMatt ChapmanSF
SSZach NetoLAA
OFKyle SchwarberPHI
OFJackson MerrillSD
OFByron BuxtonMIN
UtilJuan SotoNYM
UtilColson MontgomeryCWS
BNJosh NaylorSEA
ILLuis Robert Jr.NYM
SPAndrew AbbottCIN
SPNoah CameronKC
RPAroldis ChapmanBOS
RPTyler PhillipsMIA
PDrew RasmussenTB
PCristopher SánchezPHI
PFreddy PeraltaNYM
PMax FriedNYY
BNMichael WachaKC
BNShane BazBAL
BNEdward CabreraCHC
BNGavin WilliamsCLE
ILPete FairbanksMIA
CSalvador PerezKC
1BVladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR
2BOzzie AlbiesATL
3BKazuma OkamotoTOR
SSElly De La CruzCIN
OFPete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
OFCody BellingerNYY
OFAlec BurlesonSTL
UtilBrandon LowePIT
UtilRamón LaureanoSD
BNJakob MarseeMIA
ILJackson ChourioMIL
SPJoe RyanMIN
SPMatthew BoydCHC
RPRobert SuarezATL
RPTanner ScottLAD
PJake BennettNABOS
PChase DollanderCOL
PJesús LuzardoPHI
PBrad KellerPHI
BNPayton TolleBOS
BNNolan McLeanNYM
BNEury PérezMIA
BNBailey OberMIN
ILRaisel IglesiasATL
ILJosh HaderHOU
SPJeffrey SpringsATH
Rain City Bombers
Allahu Alvarez
Taylor finally got the offense to match the rotation last week (40 RBI, Michael Harris II 11 RBI) and won 7-3. The active rotation is four-deep (Skenes, deGrom, Lugo, Imanaga) with Zack Wheeler, Bryce Elder, and the Nick Martinez waiver-add on the bench. Lindor (IL10) and Yelich (IL10) are out. The rotation will lap most teams in K and QS. The sim has Rain City at 72% in K and 58% in QS. The lineup is still the soft spot and the closer situation is shaky against a Muñoz/Domínguez/Varland trio.
Allahu was 7-1-1 all-play last week despite a 2-7 H2H loss to Ragans. The lineup hits hard. Christian Walker (3 HR, .440 OBP), Max Muncy (3 HR, .583 OBP), Yordan Alvarez, Bobby Witt Jr., Ian Happ. Active rotation is just two SPs (Arrighetti, Ranger Suarez) with five healthy options on the bench (Gausman, Bibee, Soroka, Gilbert, plus Pivetta on IL15 and Steele on IL60). The bullpen is elite (Muñoz, Domínguez, Varland, Pagán). League-best save total last week.
CWill SmithLAD
1BTyler SoderstromATH
2BMaikel GarciaKC
3BManny MachadoSD
SSCarlos CorreaHOU
OFFernando Tatis Jr.SD
OFRoman AnthonyBOS
OFJorge SolerLAA
UtilLiam HicksMIA
UtilJosh BellMIN
BNMichael Harris IIATL
ILFrancisco LindorNYM
ILChristian YelichMIL
SPPaul SkenesPIT
SPSeth LugoKC
RPCade SmithCLE
RPDennis SantanaPIT
PJakob JunisTEX
PJoel KuhnelATH
PShota ImanagaCHC
PBraxton AshcraftPIT
BNJacob deGromTEX
BNBryce ElderATL
BNZack WheelerPHI
BNNick MartinezTB
ILNick LodoloCIN
CAgustín RamírezNAMIA
1BChristian WalkerHOU
2BXavier EdwardsMIA
3BJosh JungTEX
SSBobby Witt Jr.KC
OFYordan AlvarezHOU
OFOneil CruzPIT
OFBryan ReynoldsPIT
UtilMax MuncyLAD
UtilIan HappCHC
BNFreddie FreemanLAD
BNJonathan ArandaTB
BNRafael DeversSF
ILJackson HollidayBAL
SPLogan GilbertSEA
SPKevin GausmanTOR
RPAndrés MuñozSEA
RPLouis VarlandTOR
PSeranthony DomínguezCWS
PJack PerkinsATH
BNEmilio PagánCIN
BNTanner BibeeCLE
BNRanger SuarezBOS
BNSpencer ArrighettiHOU
ILNick PivettaSD
ILJustin SteeleCHC
NALogan HendersonMILGenerated Apr 28 at 1:23 AM Pacific
| Matchup | Predicted | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OBT vs Busch | Busch 6–4 | OBT 9–1 | ✗ Badly missed |
| Sonny vs Hey Holmes! | Sonny 6–4 | Sonny 6–3 | ✓ Exact |
| Nick-fil-A vs Buckner | Buckner 6–4 | 4–4 tie | ✗ Missed |
| Keanu vs Ete Crow | Keanu 6–4 | Ete Crow 8–2 | ✗ Badly missed |
| Rain City vs Allahu | Allahu 6–4 | 5–5 tie | ✗ Missed |
1–4 with the only correct call being Sonny over Hey Holmes! at 6–3. The two badly-missed picks were both straight inversions: the sim had Busch as a 73% favorite and OBT swept 9 of 10 cats, and the sim had Keanu as a 53% favorite over Ete Crow and Ete walked it 8–2. Two ties out of five was the bigger story. Nick-fil-A and Buckner split power vs. pitching down the middle, and Rain City vs. Allahu came down to a single category in either direction. Soft week for the model. Pitching variance ran the show.
Jace Allison adding Chase Dollander on April 27, the morning of Week 6. Dollander joined a rotation that already had Luzardo and Boyd hot, and the Ete Crow staff went on to lead the league in K and finish second in QS. The lineup gets the credit for the 8–2 win because Jace put up 50 R, 15 HR, and 52 RBI. The pitching gets the credit for it not being closer. Honorable mention: Mickey Moniak added to It’s Always Sonny on April 24 (the week before) and immediately became a multi-HR weekly contributor in a roster that needed exactly that.
| # | Team | Owner | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | It’s Always Sonny | TylerV | 38 | 17 | 5 |
| 2 | Nick-fil-A | Mario | 33 | 20 | 7 |
| 3 | One Ball Two Strikes | Garth W | 35 | 24 | 1 |
| 4 | Keanu Reeves | Duke Joe | 33 | 25 | 2 |
| 5 | The Buckner Boots | Michael | 30 | 25 | 5 |
| 6 | Ete Crow | Jace Allison | 26 | 30 | 4 |
| 7 | Rain City Bombers | Taylor | 23 | 34 | 3 |
| 8 | Allahu Alvarez | TylerR | 22 | 34 | 4 |
| 9 | Busch Latte | Rose | 20 | 35 | 5 |
| 10 | Hey Holmes! | Michael | 20 | 36 | 4 |
Generated May 3 · Stats verified from Yahoo Fantasy API final results